Some cryptocurrency friends trade ETH, and forced liquidations often occur in the range of just over 100 points. From my observation, many small capital players are in this position. This position is safe when the market is doing well, but it is fraught with risks during fluctuations, which can easily lead to losses and requires sufficient time to monitor. It is only suitable for ultra-short-term trading, specifically trades within 1-6 hours, not exceeding 12 hours or overnight. Due to the lack of sufficient fluctuation space for operations, it cannot withstand 1-2 support level pullbacks, and usually, market conditions can change within 6-12 hours.
For short to medium-term trends, generally, ETH should not stabilize before 4k; forced liquidations are best positioned at 3500-3440 or even below 3200, as this can protect against major downtrends without needing to reduce positions for short-term defense (extreme bearishness can drive prices down to around 3200, like the Japanese interest rate hike on August 5). You can buy back as much as you can during pullbacks. If forced liquidations are too close, you won't dare to add to your position during pullbacks; adding to your position will only raise the liquidation price, increasing risk. If you don't add, the price may rise, yielding smaller profits. After all, in a bull cycle, every drop is to facilitate a better rise; a drop is not a real drop but rather a way to accumulate and prepare for a higher peak, this type of drop is referred to as an 'ineffective drop.' #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温 #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场盘整

ACT $PNUT $NEIRO These three leek coins are really ruthless in washing the盘. After a big drop, there was a maximum decline of over 40%, severely teaching retail investors a lesson about the long position mentality (including me). Additionally, the violent trading of winter market makers
The meme sector, both in decline and rise, is undoubtedly a cryptocurrency with strong attention. Funds come and go as they please. Everyone knows the meme sector is strong, but no one is willing to buy at high positions, cut losses, or hold without selling. As far as I know, most of the chips for these three trapped cryptocurrencies are within the ranges of ACT 0.55-0.5, PNUT 1.1-1, NEIRO 0.00165-0.00173 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #市场调整後的机会？

The state of weekend BTC spot premium is moderate, after all, the USD funds are not in the market, and it is normal for the premium to slowly decline;
However, the previous rapid rebound of the premium from the low point and the judgment of price rebound are not problematic, and indeed no larger-scale spot supply has appeared afterwards;
The current negative premium status is not very healthy, considering the low market liquidity during the Christmas period next week, the futures market may still see targeted liquidations;
As the saying goes, "When there are no tigers in the mountains (spot leaders), monkeys (futures speculators) rule the roost!" When futures leaders start to scramble for liquidity everywhere, the market is often understood as a "monkey market." #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温 #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场盘整

Bitcoin is still at 96,000, why have altcoins lost all their gains?
The answer lies in the trading volume. Do you remember a few weeks ago when every weekend, there were a few coins whose trading volume exceeded ETH or even BTC? Just look at their trends now. I remember DOGE, PEPE, XRP, PNUT, ACT, but I can't recall the others. Look at their current trends, and you'll know where the funds have gone; the money is stuck. Where is the altcoin season? Money comes from the sky?
Americans trade coins primarily in Bitcoin, as it aligns with the background of value investment. If I had to choose a few more, it might be RWA, as this can be considered for valuation. If I had to pick a few more, it might be the leading public chains, as this is where value can be generated. Most other sectors are just fleeting moments; many are things concocted by people in the industry themselves, which traditional investors look down upon. By the time they understand it, it might be the next cycle. The real altcoin season may present itself in another form, and it certainly won't be a general rise~ Just look at this weekend's gain leaderboard, it is simply dismal. #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #USUAL走势分析 #USUAL走势分析 #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场盘整

After this round of consolidation, the entire market has shown a two-tier differentiation. Both bulls and bears in the market have become increasingly confused. However, from a higher perspective, in a bull market, a decline is the best thing; there is nothing better than a drop. The coins that were once unattainable are now available at a low price. This is a large-scale reshuffle in the market, where the strong survive and the weak are eliminated. It can be firmly said that this is like the heavy rain after a lightning strike; continuous heavy rain will surely lead to a sunny day. This is an eternal natural law!
It has been a while since I shared some price points with everyone. Today, I want to mention them for your reference in bottom-fishing!
The maximum retracement point for BTC is 92,000. I mentioned in November that 92,000 is an important checkpoint for BTC. As long as the closing price remains above 92,000, there is no problem; it just fluctuates within that range. Currently, this consolidation shows some downward momentum. If it drops further, going all in at 88,000 is not an issue! BTC returning to 100,000 is just a matter of time!
For ETH, there are currently two key points: the first point is 3,100, and the second point is 2,980. If the market continues to decline, 3,100 will become a reasonable rebound point. If the price sees a rapid drop, just go for 2,980; this point has significant strategic importance. The big players will not let go of such a good point!
Dogecoin has been influenced by Musk being controlled by the military, forming an island reversal pattern in its price. If this chart pattern cannot return above the neckline within a week, the situation will deteriorate, and it will take longer to digest the bottom-fishing and selling pressure. It may take several months to see a new level of market movement!
Still, the same saying: at this point, Dogecoin below 0.3 is priced like cabbage. The maximum retracement is limited to 0.242, which doesn’t leave much range. For such a skyrocketing approach by the big players, it only takes a few seconds!
The market is showing these two differentiated situations: a bullish outlook led by BTC and a bearish situation led by ETH and Dogecoin. But after all, BTC is still the leader! Capturing this wave in the next three months can easily lead to a 10x big winner!

El Salvador's President Bukele is truly bold, directly making Bitcoin legal tender, which is a first in the world! 👍 But to be honest, their domestic situation is special, heavily reliant on the dollar, with high remittance costs. Bitcoin does seem to be a solution. However, the actual effect, well, you know, the public isn't too convinced, they exchange Bitcoin red envelopes for dollars right away, which is pretty funny. 😂
Speaking of global trends, I think this should be done slowly. Bitcoin is highly volatile, and regulation is also tricky; not every country can handle it. 🤔 Even if you want to follow the trend, you must first weigh your own regulatory capacity and public acceptance, right?
Moreover, international big players, like the IMF and the World Bank, are quite cautious about this matter, as the risks are evident. 😓 So, I think the global trend following El Salvador still depends on future developments, and we shouldn't rush to conclusions.
Brothers should pay more attention to the market and keep their restless hands steady!

Seeing that Wolf Brother said the altcoin season is coming in two days
Personally, I think the likelihood of insufficient liquidity close to the end of the year is low
Although BTC's market share has peaked, Ethereum's exchange rate has a double bottom on the daily chart
The adjustment period is far from enough, and further consolidation is needed
In terms of altcoins, they are indeed at the bottom if we look at March next year
Here's my personal prediction for the upcoming market:
1🈷️BTC continues to decline, and the vast majority of altcoins will test the bottom again
1🈷️On the 20th, Trump's inauguration will bring favorable outcomes and speculation will turn negative
1🈷️On the 29th, after the Spring Festival, there will be a pre-adjustment that creates a golden pit
The real bottom for altcoins will be between the 20th and the 29th of January
From February to April, many cryptocurrencies can rise more than three times in a month
Altcoins will only take off after meeting any of the following conditions🛫
1. You get liquidated
2. You actively cut losses
Hold on! Save your bullets for the final takeoff, and don't let them explode before then #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场盘整

This market is brutal. On the 20th, Bitcoin dropped to 92,300, but on the 21st, it rebounded to 99,570, fluctuating almost 8 points. Many people sold at the lowest point or were liquidated, and when they saw the price go up, they rushed to buy in again. As a result, the coins in their hands became fewer and fewer. Many who suffered heavy losses felt reluctant and continued to gather resources to fight again. If they do not learn from their lessons, they will continue to be liquidated and sold off.
Trading cryptocurrencies requires skill! Just like on the 20th, when Bitcoin suddenly dropped to 92,300, many traders were scared and directly sold or were liquidated. Then, on the 21st, it rebounded to 99,570. Many rushed back in when they saw it was rising, resulting in even fewer coins in their hands. Buying low and selling high versus buying high and selling low leads to two completely different outcomes. #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场盘整

Is the rebound suddenly coming to an end? How did it rise during the day yesterday and drop back overnight, even potentially dropping more?
Everyone is talking about the Christmas disaster, but has it really turned into a Christmas disaster? Based on the holiday schedule of foreigners, this could last until January 6th.
1. $BTC hasn't really dropped much, just slightly down by less than 1000 USD, while altcoins are bleeding heavily;
Bitcoin spot ETF saw a total net outflow of 277 million USD on Friday, with the ETF net asset ratio reaching 5.75%;
2. $ETH's exchange rate continues to decline, rebounding to around 3500 before starting to correct;
3. $SOL rebounded above 200 at its peak, but has now completely erased its losses, and no one dares to buy the dip anymore;
#比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场反弹

btc

1. The daily MA30 fell below for the first time. According to the trend triangle tactics, look at the 5-line K-line; the daily level does not represent bulls and bears, but represents the strength and weakness in the medium and short term. Just as I reminded during the first sharp drop, this does not mean that we have entered the risk zone, but reminds us that the risk zone may have arrived;

2. In this wave of retreat, the big cake still played the role of aftermath, covering the retreat of his copycat brothers;

3. An original wave chart was found, and now it needs to be corrected. The correction is shown in the figure.

3. From a small level, it is very important not to fall below the low point of 92233, which means that the structure has been completed and the bottom can be built#比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #加密市场反弹

The recent strategy is: to act as a grim reaper after the market declines.
Yesterday, there weren't too many large liquidation orders, and I'm looking forward to a new round of declines to buy the dip and then sell during the rebound process, making comfortable profits.
Based on experience, a significant premium on U usually presents a good opportunity.

Generally, there are no particularly large negative factors.
When the market drops by 20% in a day, it usually rebounds by about 10% the next day.
When the mainstream drops by 30% in a day, it usually rebounds by about 10-20% the next day.
Just a bit of experiential advice $BNB #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温 #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备

A bull market, simply put, is when the overall trend is consistently upward, and it rises particularly quickly, leading to significant volatility. Altcoins typically fluctuate around 10%, which is already considered a lot; now that the bull market has arrived, fluctuations of 15%-20% are not unusual. Altcoins have now broken through support levels and have started entering an area where no one is monitoring them. High market cap coins might correct by 75%, while low market cap coins could potentially return to their starting points. But don’t think the bull market is over just because of a drop; that would be a huge loss. Remember, in a bull market, if you're holding long positions, even if you're stuck, there is still a chance to break free; but if you're holding short positions and get stuck, just wait for a liquidation. For those holding long positions, don’t rush to cut your losses; if you do, you’ll regret it when it rebounds. Wait for a strong reversal signal, and then increase your position to lower the average price of your long positions. This way, you can welcome the cryptocurrency frenzy after Trump takes office next year. For those without long positions, or who haven’t made money recently, don’t rush either. Patiently wait for a reversal signal, and when that happens, buying will place you in the 'golden pit' of the bull market, an excellent position. Never rush to buy just because of a big dip; a bull market rewards those who are patient.

Let's talk about Zen. The more the price of the currency rises, the less you dare to buy it. The current trend is a flag-shaped adjustment in the 1-hour structure. After the adjustment, it may accelerate the rise.
It has already hit a new high on the daily line, and the weekly line is also very beautiful. It can be regarded as a large-volume start. It should not stop rising without a weekly line with shrinking volume.
I don't know why this coin is rising against the trend. Grayscale's style of buying coins is to buy in batches for a long time, and selling is also selling in batches for a long time. If Grayscale stops buying, there should be a wave of sentiment falling.
Looking at the trend of Zen, which has been the only one to show, I dare not believe that the BTC bull market is over. Instead, it is a three-stage rise to induce more shipments.
The next opportunity lies in whether the second and third Zen can be found, and see which coins are ready to move. #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温

Be bold and buy the bottom, brothers!

First-tier ETH, SOL, BNB, BGB

Second-tier UNI, AVAX, SUI, APT, AAVE, XRP, ADA,

Third-tier RAY, OM, USUAL, MOVE, ENA, ONDO, DOGE, PEPE

#加密市场反弹 #PCE通胀降温 #USUAL走势分析 #比特币市场波动观察 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC

- Ethereum ETF saw an inflow of $1.66 billion in December, accounting for 74% of total inflows
- The US SEC approved cryptocurrency index ETF applications
- fxhash launched the token $FXH, with 40% allocated for community airdrops
- Crypto czar David Sacks denied rumors of role changes

Today's Data
Fear & Greed Index: 62 (-0)
Altcoin Season Index: 46 (-3)
Bitcoin Market Share: 56.8% (-0.5%)

1️⃣ In December, the inflow of Ethereum ETF significantly increased to $1.66 billion, accounting for 74% of the total inflow of $2.24 billion since its inception. BlackRock's iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) performed outstandingly, with a single-day inflow of $292 million, leading other ETF products.

2️⃣ The SEC approved the listing applications for cryptocurrency index ETFs from Nasdaq and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (BZX), with products from Hashdex and Franklin Templeton set to begin trading, marking an important step towards the financialization of cryptocurrencies.

3️⃣ The art platform fxhash launched its official token $FXH, with a total supply of 1 billion, of which 40% will be allocated for community airdrops (32% for early users, 8% for partner communities), with no lock-up period. This initiative aims to promote a new on-chain economic model for art creation and collection through tokenization.

4️⃣ Crypto czar David Sacks denied reports of changes in his role on the X platform. He confirmed he would continue to allocate his time as planned, with 50% focused on policy work and 50% on Silicon Valley technology, emphasizing that this arrangement aligns with his job responsibilities.

#市场调整後的机会？ #灰度SUI信托基金 #美联储放鹰 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #USUAL走势分析

ETH dropped significantly to 3104 yesterday, very close to the support level of 3020. The rebound afterwards also had a large trading volume, and yesterday's closing was a high-volume hammer candlestick, indicating that both buying and selling pressure for Ethereum are relatively strong.
Positive factors are starting to emerge, with a noticeable recovery in Ethereum ETF buying, which allows for optimism regarding Ethereum's future market.
However, in a double top structure, once the neckline is broken, it will become an important resistance level.
Moreover, the large trading volume during yesterday's decline indicates strong selling pressure, so a secondary test is likely needed moving forward.
Therefore, the most probable scenario in the near future is that Ethereum will rebound to test the neckline resistance level, and after a failed breakout, there will be a secondary test.

In the last 24 hours, the turnover has actually exceeded that of the day of the interest rate meeting, which indicates that the real potential for panic to ferment lies in the recent 24 hours. The current market has not yet emerged from the shadow of slight interest rate cuts in 2025; at most, the favorable inflation allows investors to speculate whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates once more in 2025.
Of course, the last day of each week is indeed the day with the least amount of funds, so it is understandable that prices are somewhat hesitant. In the data from the past 24 hours, the exit of profit-taking investors has not been significant; panic has only caused some earlier investors to begin to reduce their positions. However, for investors who have been making profits recently, there has not been a noticeable exit.
On the contrary, losing positions are fleeing significantly, especially those investors with costs above $100,000, who are the main source of panic. Currently, there are still many voices in the market saying that this is the last opportunity to escape, and it is possible that the next move could be to fill the gap starting with a 7.
However, from the supporting data, I can clearly see that the support between $95,500 and $100,500 is still intact, maintaining very strong support. Therefore, I believe that even if a drop occurs due to not-so-good sentiment over the weekend, the recovery won't take too long. Of course, next week is Christmas, which is one of the reasons I am concerned; it is not to say that there will definitely be a drop on Christmas, but that with lower liquidity during Christmas, it is easier for 'black swan' events to occur. #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温

98 nearby will be the first resistance level for a rebound;
Based on the position situation, many people entered to bargain hunt and short sell between 98 and 92 yesterday. Since the ratio of U-based hedging positions is still very low, most are still short selling. After this wave of rebound, all those who shorted have either stopped loss or faced liquidation, and those who bargained hunted have also taken profits and exited;
So next, 98 will become a position for speculation, and it will also be the first resistance level to see whether there will be a second test.

Secondary Market:
Apart from Bitcoin,
altcoins are still strong with Trump-themed coins, and ena has basically returned. Sui is still as strong as ever.
The newly launched vc coin move has performed impressively.
In the secondary market, the strong become stronger.
This time, no one is talking about the altcoin season; in fact, when the real altcoin season comes, it is the scariest time. What is the altcoin season? It's when even the rubbish starts to pump, things you've never heard of before. The market is basically at its peak, and if it goes down from here, there will never be another chance.
Currently, it is still a localized market.
Also, I plan to focus all my energy on the primary market. In the secondary market, either you are stuck, or you’ve long lost interest in profits. There is a coin starting with 'h' that I mentioned before; I believe it will be the king of next year, even though it seems to have a high market cap. This time, I didn't get any of the orders I placed during the drop, and I am regretting it.