Regarding the recent performance of Bitcoin, from a technical perspective, the trend shows signs of weakness. From the four-hour chart, the price maintains a narrow range of downward fluctuations, lacking clear rebound momentum, with weak trading volume and a declining moving average system, overall presenting a bearish pattern.

On the daily level, the price continues to follow a downward channel, primarily weak consolidation, failing to effectively rebound after a drop near the upper boundary, with a continuous reduction in bearish trading volume, and no significant rebound seen in the moving average system. Overall, in the short term, I lean towards a bearish strategy. However, before finding support at the support level, I will observe and wait for opportunities for a rebound in the future.

The operational advice for Bitcoin is as follows: set up short positions in the area near 97800-98500, with a target of 96800-95800. If the price breaks through this range, consider continuing to explore further down. I hope this helps with your operational decisions. #PCE通胀降温 #比特币战略储备 #圣诞行情预测

Dear friends, today I am here to share some interesting developments in the cryptocurrency space.

Projects to watch in the DeFi market: The market has seen several potential projects re-emerge, such as DF, ENA, FIS, COW, etc., with significant fluctuations in digital asset prices. I suggest everyone closely monitor the DeFi sector to seize potential appreciation opportunities.

Price trends of LQTY and QI: LQTY is currently priced at $1.57, and I anticipate it may challenge the $2 mark in the short term. As for QI, being a niche project, it has soared from $0.0017 and is expected to break through $0.0023 in the short term.

Should we pay attention to FET and NFP in the AI sector? Although there have been significant adjustments, crises often hide opportunities. FET is currently priced at $1.3, and I believe it will soon return to the $1.6-1.8 range. NFP is currently reported at $0.27, with the potential to climb to $0.35-0.37 in the short term.

Is Doge expected to rise to $1? Doge's current trading price is $0.33, and I believe it may challenge $0.36 in the short term. In the long run, it is expected to rise further next month, and we look forward to its impressive performance together.

Can we consider bottom-fishing for the anonymous coin PIVX? PIVX is currently priced at $0.3, and I believe it is a good opportunity for bottom-fishing, with hopes of rising to $0.36-0.4 in the short term. #PCE通胀降温 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC

The recent decline in the cryptocurrency market has been quite unexpected. Bitcoin has significantly dropped from its peak of $102,000, attracting widespread attention. In response, we can make some analysis and outlook.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin faced strong resistance around $108,000, and this round of correction has confirmed this judgment. Currently, the decline has exceeded 5,000 points, which is concerning. However, we still need to be vigilant about the subsequent trends. If it falls below $102,540, the previous upward trend may be affected.

Furthermore, we need to closely monitor whether this drop will develop into a daily bearish market. If this happens, Bitcoin could potentially plunge to around $83,500. Therefore, once it breaks below key support levels, investors must raise their risk awareness.

Despite this, I remain optimistic about Bitcoin's future. As long as it does not fall below key positions, I believe it still has the potential to break through the $109-$118 range and further rise to around $145. This undoubtedly brings hope to investors. In summary, we need to maintain a cautiously optimistic attitude and respond prudently to the current market changes. #USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密市场盘整 #圣诞行情预测

The Bitcoin market set a new high again yesterday, followed by a pullback. After a period of fluctuation, the price of the currency warmed up again, showing a situation of mixed bullish and bearish trends. If not handled properly, this kind of market can easily turn one into a retail investor.

As for Ethereum, it continued its sideways consolidation in the afternoon yesterday and then showed a downward trend in the early morning. The long position we set yesterday has been successfully closed, which is commendable.

From the current market situation, Bitcoin has corrected after breaking the new high, but there are no clear signs of falling below support. In the short term, downward momentum has slowed, and upward strength is also weak. From a daily perspective, Bitcoin still stands above the three-day moving average, rebounding again after a nighttime pullback, demonstrating strong support.

The following operational suggestions are as follows:
Bitcoin can be moderately bought at the 105000-105500 range, targeting around 108000.
Ethereum can consider laying out long positions around 3850, targeting around 3950.

Remember, the cryptocurrency market changes rapidly, operate cautiously, and manage risks. #BTC再创新高 #VANA开盘 #币安Alpha

#加密市场狂欢 #BTC再创新高

Today's market performance is impressive and worthy of in-depth research. From a technical perspective, the main trend indicators are showing positive signals. On the daily chart, the MA30 and BOLL indicators are continuously moving upward, with the MA30 showing an increasing trend, and the BOLL upper band is also expanding. In the 12-hour cycle, the MACD indicator has shown characteristics of a converging upward trend, indicating that the coin price maintains a strong upward trend. From the main chart, all three moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, suggesting that the short-term increase is not yet over.

In terms of operational suggestions, it is advisable to consider moderate pullbacks for gradual entry into long positions. Taking BTC as an example, the area of 106200-105200 can be a suitable zone to accumulate long positions, with a target of 108200. Similarly, for ETH, around 3970-3930, it is also advisable to set up long positions, targeting 4070.

It is important to remind that the market is ever-changing, and investors must maintain a cautious attitude and avoid rash actions. If you have any questions, feel free to continue the discussion.

To Contract Traders: Why Do You Always Lose More and Win Less?

In contract trading, many traders face this dilemma: orders with stop-loss settings often experience a rebound shortly after hitting the stop-loss, while orders without stop-loss seem to always be on the brink of liquidation. The reasons behind this may be more complex than you imagine.

First, we need to recognize a harsh reality: to some extent, you are actually gambling against the exchange or other large traders. Due to information asymmetry and differences in capital strength, you often find yourself at a disadvantage. These large traders or institutions may have more market intelligence and analytical capabilities, allowing them to better grasp market trends.

More importantly, your trading behavior may be "transparent". In a highly information-driven market, some large traders or institutions can use various means to spy on your trading strategies, including your stop-loss and take-profit points. Therefore, when you continuously make small profits, they may deliberately create market fluctuations to lure you into larger losses. This "transparency" makes it impossible for you to control your trading fate, rendering you a weak player in the market.

Additionally, it is important to pay attention to external factors affecting contract trading. For example, changes in the political and economic environment, adjustments in industry policies, and the occurrence of sudden events can all trigger severe market fluctuations, inflicting heavy damage on your trades. In the face of these unpredictable factors, even if you develop a comprehensive trading strategy, it is difficult to completely avoid risks.

In summary, the phenomenon of "losing more and winning less" in contract trading often stems from the trader's information disadvantage, strategy transparency, and the complex and volatile external environment. As contract traders, we need to maintain a humble mindset, continuously improve our analytical skills and risk management awareness to gain opportunities for survival and development in this harsh market.

In the field of blockchain investment, PVP and PVE are two entirely different strategies.

PVP, or "Player versus Player", focuses on the competitive dynamics of seizing opportunities and capturing market share. This strategy requires constant attention to the movements of others, promptly seizing opportunities, as if competing with others for the same chances. However, this approach often carries significant risks, necessitating that investors remain vigilant at all times.

In contrast, PVE, or "Player versus Environment", pays more attention to the intrinsic value and growth potential of the project itself. Investors need to have a deep understanding of the project's fundamentals, prudently assess its long-term development prospects, rather than getting too caught up in short-term market competition. This focus on the project itself may be relatively stable, but it is more conducive to achieving sustainable and robust returns.

I have always adhered to the PVE philosophy, focusing on the intrinsic value of the project rather than overly concerning myself with short-term market competition. As long as one grasps the market trends and assesses the long-term development prospects of the project, substantial returns can be obtained in stability. Integrating into major trends and focusing on enhancing the intrinsic value of the project is the right path to making big money in the long run. Of course, one must remain cautious and vigilant when making investment decisions.

Many investors may feel that the recent price increases of some altcoins are not obvious. But from the perspective of market value, these tokens have actually experienced considerable growth.

Taking ARB as an example, although its price trend seems as stable as a stablecoin, its market value has increased by more than a billion dollars in the past year. This is mainly due to the increase in its token circulation from the initial 12.75% to the current 26.5%.

For tokens with higher fully diluted valuations, even if the price does not rise significantly, maintaining their market value requires the support of a large amount of investor funds. There are many such popular projects on the market currently. If you want these new high FDV currencies to achieve a tenfold or a hundredfold increase again, it will require a large amount of capital injection.

It can be seen that compared with 2021, this bull market is no longer a comprehensive surge. The current altcoin season is mainly focused on some high-quality tokens. Investors need a discerning eye and a certain amount of luck. After all, with such huge financial needs, it is not easy to figure out who can stand out. #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #DeFi全线飙升

The Bitcoin market is currently in the early stages of an upward channel. For investors, now is a good entry point. However, during this period, everyone needs to keep three months' living expenses on hand to avoid investing all at once. The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector continues to heat up, with increases in liquidity and total value locked, indicating an overall positive trend.

In the early stages of a bull market, there are not many investors making profits. This is a normal phenomenon, as the first to rise are usually established cryptocurrencies that many people were previously skeptical about. In the later stages of the bull market, new coins and newly launched coins will take center stage and show a rotational increase.

Most people's profit opportunities are usually concentrated in the mid-stage of a bull market. For those unfamiliar with the significant rise in cryptocurrency in 2021, it might be helpful to use the beginning of this year as a reference. At that time, artificial intelligence concept stocks like WLD, FET, ARKM, LPT, etc., surged tenfold first, followed by the much-discussed “meme coins” like PEPE and FLOKI, which also saw a tenfold increase within a week, with almost every sector experiencing a broad rise. During this stage, as long as one holds patiently and does not frequently change positions, substantial returns can be obtained. Major sectors include artificial intelligence, track coins, staking, etc., and niche sectors also present opportunities of tenfold or more. What is most needed now is to maintain patience, grasp the rhythm, take proper breaks to relax, and keep up with market trends. #DeFi全线飙升 #BTC重回关键位置后走势

The strength of the rebound is hard to describe. The 4-hour Bollinger middle band hasn't even bounced up, and it's getting close to the overbought area. One can only say that the bearish rhythm is hot, and the rebound is currently only suitable for short-term longs.

Price Limit Reference
If the 4-hour does not break 983, go short directly.
Conversely, 970 follows the trend, opening up for short-term longs. Looking up at 990-1000.

Old Problems New Creation, Will US Inflation Look Back on Its Path?
Data Performance Expectations:
1. Overall Inflation Rises Again: It is expected that the overall inflation in the US will increase by 2.7% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month in November, slightly up from 2.6% and 0.2% in October.
2. Core Inflation Remains Sticky: It is expected that the core inflation in the US will rise by 3.3% year-on-year for the third consecutive month and by 0.3% month-on-month for the fourth consecutive month.
Reasons for the Rise/Fall Stagnation of Inflation:
1. Airfare Prices - Goldman Sachs: It is expected that airfare prices will rise by 1% month-on-month, reflecting a strong underlying pricing trend. (Bank of America holds a different view: it expects airfare prices to fall by 1% month-on-month, changing the contribution rate to core inflation from +3 basis points to -1 basis point, bringing the monthly rate down to 0.2%.)
2. Housing Costs - Vanguard: Over the past year and a half, housing prices have been a major driver of inflation, and this stickiness will continue. We really do not see any substantial softening before next year.
3. Energy Prices - Moody's: It is expected that energy costs will drive the overall inflation rate up, and there will be no significant surprises in inflation, but the road to the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target will be bumpy.
4. Service Sector Inflation - Vanguard: Due to strong wage growth in recent months, service sector inflation may remain high. If wages continue to maintain high growth rates, it will be difficult to keep service sector inflation at a stable level of 2%.
5. Base Effect - Vanguard: The slowdown in the process of inflation retreat is partly attributed to the base effect and partly to the persistent inflation pressure in industries such as services and housing. It is expected that the core CPI in November will grow by 0.25%, slightly lower than general expectations.
6. Trump's Policies -
① Goldman Sachs: Due to the rebalancing of the automobile, rent, and labor markets, inflation is expected to continue to retreat next year, but this progress will also be offset by the escalation of tariff policies.
② Bank of America: The labor market has already rebalanced, and supply constraints have essentially faded, with inflation expectations remaining stable. In other words, considering our expected adjustments to tariff, fiscal, and immigration policies, progress on inflation should stagnate next year.
#加密市场回调 #BTC☀

The night market trend is stable, with Bitcoin mainly adjusting around the $100,000 price level. Ethereum remains at a high level near $4,000. Yesterday, investors laid out a long strategy after a pullback, with Bitcoin ultimately closing down 1,000 points, and Ethereum bulls also retreated.

From a weekly perspective, the current market shape is relatively robust, showing positive signs of bottoming out and stabilizing. However, the market mostly maintains a wide range of fluctuations and has not seen a significant decline yet. From the 4-hour chart, although there have been multiple attempts to break through, resistance still exists. From a long-term perspective, the bulls are regaining momentum, but the momentum still needs to be further strengthened and may undergo a round of pullback to validate effective support. Therefore, in the short term, attention should still be paid to good opportunities for low-level layouts.

The operation suggestions are as follows:

On Monday morning, Bitcoin can be appropriately longed around $99,500, targeting around $102,000. From a swing perspective, the target is $104,000.
In the $3,950-$3,970 range for Ethereum, consider laying out long positions, with a target around $4,090. From a swing perspective, the target is $4,150.#币安将上市ACX、ORCA #山寨季怎么布局？

The cryptocurrency market is changing rapidly, and investors need to maintain a cautious attitude. From midnight to morning, the market fluctuated significantly, with a range reaching over ten thousand points. In the face of such drastic market movements, investors need to operate carefully.

Currently, the overall trend still leans towards the upside. From a four-hour perspective, the market has stabilized near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and there may be another attempt to challenge the 100,000 level in the short term. In the afternoon, it is still recommended that investors cautiously participate in low buying.

Bitcoin is currently consolidating around 75,000, with the next target being around 100,000. Ethereum is maintaining around 3,880, with the next target being around the 4,000 line. In this round of market movements, many investors have encountered liquidation. Investors need to stay clear-headed at all times, conduct risk assessments, and prepare for emergencies. #山寨币市场观察 #ENA突破1美元 #RWA板块普涨

#Layer1公链普涨 #下一个换谁涨？ #微软比特币投资投票案

How will the unemployment benefit data released on the evening of December 5 affect the market trend?

Currently, the big cake is fluctuating around 103,000.

The candlestick chart shows that the trading volume has increased recently, and the trading volume has rebounded compared with the previous few hours, and the price and trading volume have risen simultaneously.

The MACD indicator has no clear trend, but the MACD bar chart continues to be positive and gradually becomes longer, and the momentum performance is relatively strong.

After comprehensive analysis, I personally judge that the big cake will show a trend of falling first and then rising.

The recommended operations are as follows:

Big cake establishes a long order in the 100,000-100,500 area, with a target of 104,500-105,000.

If the second cake pulls back to the 3840-3870 area, you can also intervene in the long position, with a target of 3940-3970.

It should be noted that the market is changing rapidly and investors should remain cautious and adjust their holding strategies in a timely manner.

The bull market is here, three potential cryptocurrencies worth paying attention to

Dogecoin (DOGE)
Dogecoin is a peer-to-peer open-source cryptocurrency known for its low transaction fees and fast transfers. Starting as a joke, it has now become the seventh largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, with its legendary journey being noteworthy under Musk's influence. DOGE is expected to break the $1 price point in the future.

Morpho (MORPHO)
Morpho is a lending protocol led by A16Z, with total funding reaching $68 million. It combines the liquidity pool model of Compound or AAVE with a P2P matching engine from an order book, improving capital efficiency. Morpho-Compound is consistent with the original protocol in user experience, liquidity, and liquidation parameters, but enhances yields through P2P matching. As a leader in the DEFI space, Morpho's prospects are promising.

Shiba Inu (SHIB)
Shiba Inu is a decentralized meme token. As another MEME coin endorsed by Musk, SHIB has risen over 200% since its launch, becoming a favorite potential asset for many investors. Although its current price is only a few cents, 1.4 million people worldwide have participated in investing, hoping SHIB will reach 1 cent, making them millionaires. In addition, SHIB has a token burn mechanism, making its future development promising.

The previous round of rising momentum faced resistance at the 99,600 point level and entered a phase of adjustment and consolidation. After repeated testing, the price ultimately built up strength and surged again, successfully breaking through key obstacles. Today's significant increase not only effortlessly crossed the 10,000 mark but also broke through the 4,000 point barrier, making it quite remarkable. As I predicted earlier, Bitcoin is expected to challenge the important threshold of 100,000 USD, and this strong upward trend undoubtedly confirms that judgment. The slight pullback at the beginning of this week is merely a common and normal rest in the bull market process, and the overall trend remains healthily upward.

From a technical perspective, this round of bull market continues the trend characteristic of unilateral upward movement. The adjustment that appeared after failing to reach the 100,000 mark all at once is just a natural market correction, with the price consistently maintaining strong support above the medium-term moving averages, completing the necessary accumulation of strength. Now, bullish forces have regained dominance, and the significant surge further indicates the weakness of bearish forces, with limited pullback pressure. From the hourly chart, it can be seen that after effectively holding the support at 101,500 points during the afternoon session, it quickly surged, demonstrating the strong momentum of continued market ascent. Overall, this round of the bull market still has considerable upside potential, with the medium-term target range aimed at 110,000 to 120,000 USD; in the short term, the area around 105,000 points may become a new focal point.

The following operational suggestions are made:
Bitcoin can be appropriately accumulated in the 102,500-102,300 range, targeting around 104,000.
Ethereum can be entered into long positions near 3,890-3,880, aiming to challenge the 4,000 mark.

The blockchain craze sweeps through the cryptocurrency circle, and rising prices attract attention. However, not everyone benefits from this. Some people are trapped in a quagmire of losses, with anxiety lingering as if haunted by a curse.

Others trade and profit handsomely, which is enviable. But do not overcompare, as that will only deepen self-doubt and anxiety. We need to recognize our cognitive limitations, proceed steadily, and not blindly follow others.

Opportunities and challenges coexist. It might be wise to temper our expectations, stick to our original intention, and learn calmly. We should respond to the market's fluctuations with a steady mindset, believing that we will eventually find a stable and profitable path suitable for ourselves.

Pursuing profit is not easy; it requires patience and determination. But as long as we stay true to our original intention, we can surely reap the rewards and growth we deserve in this vast world of blockchain.#加密市场狂热 #下一个换谁涨？ #微策略持续增持BTC

【BTC Breaks $100,000, Spot Whales Achieve Record Sales】

Recently, Bitcoin (BTC) reached a historic high, breaking the $100,000 mark. According to data, during this surge, major players on leading exchanges have delivered impressive results.

It is noteworthy that as the BTC price approached $100,000, whales on exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, and OKX collectively bet $166 million, including a single large order of up to $75.67 million and an ultra-large order close to $42.63 million. These trading actions demonstrate the strong confidence of market leaders in this upward trend.

At the same time, spot whales have placed a total of $461 million in massive sell orders above $99,000. Data shows that these whales have gradually realized $456 million in sales after the BTC price broke $100,000. The average selling price was $100,418, marking a successful conclusion.

Market conditions change rapidly, and investors must operate with caution and maintain proper risk control. The above data is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. #Layer1公链普涨 #下一个换谁涨？ #BTC新高10W

12.5 Thursday Market Analysis:

Yesterday's market trend was in line with my previous predictions. The momentum of the mainstream cryptocurrencies was weak in the earlier stage, but the secondary cryptocurrencies continued to rise, and only after midnight did the mainstream cryptocurrencies pull back to near support levels and start to rally, strongly breaking through the 99000 mark.

From the hourly chart, after the cryptocurrencies retraced to around the 94500 support, they broke through the trend line. The MACD shows a significant inflow of funds, the Bollinger Bands transitioned from convergence to expansion, and the KDJ lines are trending upwards. These technical indicators all suggest that the intraday market will maintain a strong momentum. Therefore, we remain optimistic about the upward movement in our operations.

The specific operational strategy is as follows: pay attention to the 96000 support level, and when there is a pullback, consider going long; if the 99000 level is effectively broken and stabilized, a light position can be followed for a long position, which is expected to continue to attack. On the contrary, if the 99000 mark cannot be effectively broken, a light short position can be attempted.

Mainstream coins: a pullback to near 97500-97000 can be considered for a long position, with an upper target of 99500.
Secondary coins: consider going long on pullbacks, with an upper target of 3950.

In summary, the current overdue market overall presents a strong situation, and investors need to operate cautiously and strictly control risks. #下一个换谁涨？ #NFT市场回暖 #RWA板块普涨

In a bull market, many investors tend to frequently switch positions. As soon as they see the price of a certain cryptocurrency rising, they rush to change their holdings, which often leads to their original assets being easily sold off, falling into an endless cycle. In fact, most mainstream cryptocurrencies will take turns rising, without the need to deliberately chase price increases and switch positions. It may be wise to choose a few mainstream coins that have potential in the medium to long term and hold them patiently, allowing time to prove your choices. After all, only with patience and composure can one capture real opportunities in this market and protect their wealth.

This market is rapidly changing and unpredictable. Remember not to be easily misled by temporary price increases, overlooking the value of long-term investment. Choose wisely, proceed steadily, adhere to your investment philosophy, and believe that there will be rewards in the end. #Layer1公链普涨 #BNB创历史新高