Here are the (disturbing) facts about crypto.

No one on this app knows what’s going to happen next.

That includes GCR, Ansem, Capo, Kang, or any of the 1,000 other traders flooding your timeline.

The cycle top may have already arrived, or it may be later this year, or in 2025, or even 2026. Or maybe we’re not even in the cycle yet.

Bitcoin may go to $100,000 this year, or it may not, or it may go to $40,000 first.

No one knows. And I mean no one knows. No matter what they say.

But that’s okay.

As a trader/investor, your goal is to do your best to interpret market changes, digest new information, and manage risk accordingly.

Make sure to follow these 4 principles:

1. Stay alert.

Those who can quickly adapt to changing conditions/process new information usually succeed.

2. Don’t focus all your energy on a single thesis.

This market doesn’t owe you anything. Your biases don’t matter. If Plan A doesn't work, always have a Plan B. And always have a Plan C for Plan B.

3. Be wary of "consensus" trading.

When the entire TL is bullish, that's probably a time to take profits. Conversely, when the entire TL is screaming down, that's probably a time to buy. If mass sentiment signals the opposite more often, it's correct.

Most importantly:

4. Never place too much weight on a single trader's argument.

Absorb information, analyze it, acknowledge it - but don't let it drive decisions alone. Otherwise, you'll be wavering from day to day. Even if your initial bias is correct, your portfolio won't reflect that.

It's good to have an argument - but find a balance between being too flexible and too rigid. #MegadropLista #币安合约锦标赛