As can be seen from the chart, the expectation of a rate cut in September is about 60%. The current wash and shock are already in place from the data. Frightened retail investors have begun to cautiously open longs or even shorts. If the data continues to be positive in the next few times, and the expectation of a rate cut in September is raised to more than 80%, then a sudden upward squeeze will start, and retail investors will be unable to get on board again. The target of the big pie is around 7.5-8w.

After the pull-up, retail investors begin to chase the rise, and the entry price is raised. Then the real interest rate cut in September will instead cause the US stock market, which has been pulling up, to collapse, and drive the currency circle to fall together. Everyone must remember the node on September 24, try not to get too excited when placing orders, and plan to escape the top and leave in advance!