Don't expect the alt season to come. When will the next alt sector rotation come?

Let's talk about the next market first. After yesterday's oversold, the rebound was very weak. Most of the project's dealers did not protect the market. After the big cake fell below the 65000u strength and weakness dividing line, it weakened. In the next week, the big cake will fall back below 62000u to absorb funds. Grayscale still has 280,000 big cakes left, and will also smash 80,000 big cakes to big investors such as BlackRock. It is expected that the oscillation period will be about 1-2 months.

We will also see Ethereum return to below 3200u.

The alts have been smashed in the past few days. Some alts have fallen back to the bottom of November 2023. If you have ambushed and pulled before, you have almost played a round in vain.

At present, after three waves of correction, this round of small alt season has ended.

When will the next round of small alt sector round rise come?

Starting from 2022, we have observed a pattern. August 2022 was the last altcoin season, and the Bitcoin season came six months after that.

The most recent altcoin season started eight months later, in January 2024.

However, just five months later, it seems to have returned to the Bitcoin season (54% of the market value of Bitcoin).

If this pattern continues, investors can expect the altcoin season to start in about seven to eight months, that is, at the end of this year, in November and December 2024. In the middle, it will still be a period of shock and slow climb. If you want to eat the craziest profits, you still need more patience!

Be more patient than the dog dealer, and finally eat the most ruthless profits.

In terms of ETFs, there was still a net outflow yesterday, and the outflow of funds was obvious. If the net inflow on June 12 is deducted, it has been a net outflow for 6 consecutive days.

The U.S. stock market may pull back at a high level. There will be another PMI data on Friday. Next, we will focus on the release of unemployment benefits and CPI data on July 11.

Things will turn around when they reach their extremes. The market will not fall all the time. At present, we are cautiously bullish.

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