When will the altcoin season start?

Based on the large-cycle analysis of BTC, BTC-D and ETH/BTC trends, in the comparative trend chart from 2019 to 2022, we can find that:

1. In 2020, BTC started the third wave of the main rise two months after the halving;

2. Bitcoin market share (BTC-D) peaked in December 20, seven months after the halving, and then began to fall all the way;

3. ETH/BTC also bottomed out in December 20, and ETH, as the king of altcoins, began to strengthen;

4. In this round of bull market, the trend rhythm is faster than that of the 21-year bull market, so it is speculated that BTC-D is expected to peak in October, six months after the halving, and the range is predicted to be 57%-60%.

5. Ethereum ETF is expected to be launched in July, and the bottom time of ETH/BTC is expected to be advanced, but if there is a big move, it will still have to wait until after October.