How will the results of ETH's ETF tonight affect the market?

1. Failure

Negative.

Ethereum plummeted across the board, and it may even drive the market down.

2. All ETFs passed at once

Negative.

Just like BTC's ETF, all passed on the same day, it means that Grayscale's ETH ETF will also pass. Grayscale holds 3 million ETH, with a market value of 11 billion US dollars and a management fee of 2.5%. Because early users have been trapped for 2 or 3 years and can finally sell, coupled with high management fees, there will be a huge sell order in the short term. It is likely to repeat the market situation two weeks after BTC's ETF was passed, when BTC fell from 48,000 to around 40,000.

3. Only vanEck's ETF application was approved according to the application time

Negative.

According to the application time, Grayscale's ETF will be reviewed on June 18. Before that, there are three ETFs from vanEck, ARK&21shares, and hashdex that need to be approved. This means that before June 18, ETFs will be almost all buying orders, and there will be no selling orders. It will be a major positive for the market, and Ethereum will hit a new high.

4. Half-passed

Both negative and positive exist at the same time.

That is, only the 19b-4 document is passed, and the s1 document is approved later, which may take weeks or months.

This situation is the most complicated, because the positive landing will cause funds to dump the market, but the expectation of full approval is also positive. The two are intertwined, funds are playing games, and long and short battles.

#以太坊ETF批准预期

$ETH