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$AXL #BTC＃ETH

I feel that I am not a qualified trading investor. I spend a lot of time watching the various "big guys" in the square sing bearish and bullish. I am unwilling to spend time learning trading on some worthless and meaningless things. I have been a leeks for almost 10 years. I must have learned a lot. Many times I can judge by myself, but I am not so confident. The root of the problem is that I have learned too little, which is really far from enough. In general, learning trading is really simple. The simplest is not to chase high and not to chase short, then the probability of winning will be greater than 50%. It is not enough to do this. It is not difficult to see the trend. There are three trends: rising period, consolidation period, and falling period. In the rising period, do not chase high and wait for callbacks before adding positions and building positions. In the falling period, wait for callbacks and then reduce positions and build short positions. In the consolidation period, look at the consolidation range to see effective breakthroughs to determine the direction and consider adding positions and reducing positions. It is not difficult. With such a simple theory, why do I still lose money. Summarize the following reasons

1. Do not wait for the trend to appear, take risks to chase the rise and sell the fall

2. Do not wait for the trend to appear, go against the trend, usually think that there is no more room for decline and no more room for rise

3. Do not wait for the trend to appear, blindly believe in the news (this is why the market will fall even if the news is good) You can look at the news, and the news is also very important, but you can also wait for the trend to appear before entering the market, which is not better.

How to see the trend, where it rises and falls, you need to look at the most recent support level in history. There is usually a rule in the consolidation period that if you need to break the consolidation, you need to test or break through the most recent pressure level. Often, a false breakthrough will rebound strongly in the opposite direction. As the saying goes, there is no establishment without breaking. Establishment is to confirm the direction, just like the struggle between two opposing forces. A true breakthrough (fall) means that the overall situation has been determined and the direction is clear. A false breakthrough means a false victory. The seemingly victorious party will definitely get a stronger retaliation from the loser. There will be a strong rebound at this moment. If the false winner takes it lightly, the situation is likely to reverse. Consider entering the market when you can determine the direction, and confirm the stop loss and exit the market in the next step. For long stop loss, it is usually better to set it to the next low point of the callback. To exit, you need to judge the next pressure point of this rebound and appropriately reduce or clear the position, switch to a larger time period to judge, break through again, and then switch to a larger time period to wait for confirmation of the direction before operating...