The harvesting model of the United States has strong regularity and foresight. It is difficult to get to the essence without in-depth research. Only by grasping the inner essence of anything can we deal with it freely and not follow the crowd. Just like some time ago, the developer of ORDI said that ORDI was rubbish and wanted to shut it down. ORDI plummeted, and many people were afraid that it would return to zero and chose to sell. If you understand that the Bitcoin chain is a node voting to decide the final resolution, you will know that what a developer says is useless. Miners are unlikely to agree with the opinions of technical developers when inscriptions such as ORID bring high returns. This is the essence, and they will choose to buy at the bottom of the plummet.
This big drop also had precursors. The overall economic data of the United States supports interest rate hikes. As the interest rate cuts in March and June could not be delivered, the market has lost confidence in the wolf of interest rate cuts. Big capital has predicted that the United States is likely to raise interest rates, so they cashed out at high levels. BTB Investment Research has also been emphasizing the risks of interest rate hikes in March and April. The current US economy can withstand interest rates of 6-8%.
To understand all these phenomena, we must understand how the United States harvests the world and how its layout and methods are displayed. In 1944, World War II entered the stage of turning from defense to offense. The Americans thought that the war would end in a few years, and the world should play by what rules, because the United States was a country whose homeland was not attacked, and provided more than 50% of material production during the war. Europe and Asia had been beaten to pieces by fascism, and there was not enough economic strength to control the right to speak, so they had to listen to the rules set by the United States. The old Americans said that everyone should come to a meeting, we will use the US dollar to benchmark gold, 35 US dollars to one ounce of gold, and then everyone will use the US dollar for international settlement. In the future, the US dollar will not be called the US dollar, but "US dollars". In this way, the "Brinston system" was established. At that time, the United States had more than 20,000 tons of gold, and the United States was the gold dealer! But later, the United States launched two wars, and fighting wars costs money! ! ! ! The Korean and Vietnam wars dragged down the then rich United States, and the US gold reserves dropped to about 8,000 tons. French President Charles de Gaulle found something wrong and asked the Treasury to exchange all the US dollars for gold and bring them back to France. Then a global run on banks began, and everyone went to the United States to exchange gold. The United States could not pay, so it announced in 1971 that the dollar would no longer be pegged to gold, and it was decoupled, giving everyone a big fight. I'm being lazy, let's see what you can do to me!
In order to continue to maintain the hegemony of the US dollar, in 1973 the United States went to the Arab oil-producing countries and said, "Brother, I will support you. In the future, oil must be settled in US dollars. No other currency will work." Saudi Arabia agreed immediately after seeing the support of the big brother. The importance of oil is self-evident. As long as it is the current industry, it is impossible to leave oil. Most industrial basic raw materials come from oil refining. In this way, the US dollar has regained its hegemony, and without the constraints of gold, it can print a large number of US dollars. Printing too much money will definitely lead to inflation. The inflation in the United States is not serious. He spreads the extra US dollars to the world. People in the global village digest the inflation of the United States together! How to understand, for example: Chinese foreign trade companies do business with the United States. After receiving US dollars, they have to exchange them into RMB. The country will print the corresponding RMB to exchange for you. The more US dollars returned from foreign trade, the more RMB the country prints. These RMB become incremental, and China's inflation has risen. In the past, a monthly salary of 100 yuan was enough, but now 10,000 yuan feels about the same as the previous 100 yuan. This is the reason.
Later, the United States said, you have so many dollars but no interest, come, buy my U.S. bonds and you will get interest, everyone went to buy U.S. bonds together, and the United States took back the dollars that it had initially spread to the world through U.S. bonds. Now the countries with the most U.S. bonds are Japan with 11 trillion and China with 8 trillion (the data may be biased, subject to official announcements). The dollars returned to the United States, pushing up U.S. stocks, and capital made a lot of money again. Then they used the dollars to block the U.S. backyard, Latin America. In 1980, a large amount of dollars were sent to Latin America, and the Latin American economy prospered for 10 years, and then they began to close in, raise interest rates, and return the global dollars. The Latin American economy lost liquidity and collapsed all of a sudden, and high-quality assets shrank. Americans went back to buy high-quality assets! In 1992, Soros shorted the pound, and the British government suffered heavy losses. In 1997, Thailand was blocked. The Asian financial crisis in 1997 brought the four Asian tigers back to their original form. Hong Kong was spared because of the support of the Chinese government! The United States originally targeted China in 2006-2008, but it created a subprime mortgage crisis. When the crisis was over, China's GDP jumped to second place in the world in 2012. In 2015, the United States targeted China and wanted to block it, but it failed due to various internal and external reasons. Later, the funds turned to Europe. After the outflow of funds from Europe, they did not go to the United States, but to China.
To put it simply: the United States is printing dollars like crazy, the world pays for it, buys U.S. bonds to get the dollars back, pushes up U.S. stocks to make money, and then invests the dollars to block various countries or invest in them, and then raises interest rates to get the dollars back to push up stock prices, plundering the world in this cycle over and over again.
In the past, the cryptocurrency market had a halving every four years, with a small bull market every two years, and this has been the case since 2013. Now it is different. After the BTC halving, the number of BTC that has not been mined is negligible, and has little impact on the overall situation. The gameplay has changed from decentralization to centralization!
How to deal with it:
Go with the flow, make good plans, and use strategies to make up for the unpredictability of the future. First, do not invest heavily in one coin, diversify your investments. Second, make good position planning, and make up for the decline. Even if BTC falls to 8,000, there are positions to enter. Finally, maintain a good attitude and invest your spare money.
The harvest in the United States is about to begin. In the future, the United States will raise and lower interest rates. This is the time to buy the bottom. The most important thing now is to keep enough oil in hand. BTB Investment Research predicted the sharp drop in the last interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, the last big pullback of the cottage, and the big pullback this time. We withdrew the principal in advance and now have full oil in hand. If it falls, we will buy the bottom according to the strategy. If you are fully invested, don't worry, it will rise back later, it's just a little bit painful.