It is certain that there were big changes in the price of Bitcoin in previous halvings. Some attach great importance to this event when they say "history repeats itself". Technically, the halving only brings a decrease in the supply of new Bitcoin. Miners make great efforts to get rewards, and they have to sell the BTCs they earn in order to meet this effort. This creates constant sales pressure. Halving the reward means that the sales pressure decreases.
If you ask my personal opinion, the 'halving' seems to be gradually losing its importance by becoming a tabloid event. You ask why? First, in previous halvings, both the amount of new Bitcoin released and the amount reduced by the halving were much larger. Second, the amount affected during the halving. Before the first halving, there were only 10.5 million BTC in the market. Now, there are 19.4 million BTC in the market before the last halving (i.e. 93.7% of the total 21 million BTC is already in the market). So now both the pool is larger and the amount of new money entering the pool is smaller, so the impact is more limited. This situation seems to decrease further in future halvings. 99% of the total Bitcoin will be in the market by 2038 anyway, so probably very few people will talk about the 'halving' event.
The halving event affects miners the most. Their rewards are suddenly halved. So what happens if miners quit? Don't worry, such a situation is unlikely. There may be a reduction in the number of particularly high-cost miners due to decreasing rewards, but a layoff is unlikely.
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So who will benefit?
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I EXPLAIN IN DETAIL.
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