I said on Tuesday that the conflict between Israel and Iran is not a black swan, but just one of the catalysts that prompted the deep correction of the US stock/crypto market. A few days ago, Iran launched an air strike on Israel, and Israel did not respond positively. The news broke that the United States warned Israel not to escalate the situation, which was interpreted as "good" information. In fact, this is exactly what I am worried about, because Israel has always been very tough. Any country that provokes it will directly fight back against the other party and will never be soft. If it were not for the timely suppression by the United States, its fighter jets would have flown to Iranian airspace and directly attacked it a few days ago. And it was the United States suppressing Israel a few days ago that the Israeli Prime Minister did not respond positively to the outside world whether to fight back against Iran. This is what I am worried about, because this laid the groundwork for the subsequent counterattack against Iran. So I was not surprised that Israel attacked Iran today. So on Wednesday, I said that Friday and Saturday were very dangerous. Not only is the conflict between Israel and Iran intensified, but tomorrow is also a half-day, which is definitely not calm.