[Market Research Report on April 17th - Halving is approaching, short-term selling of bulk commodities, is it a hedge? Mid- to long-term calls, when can the weak market be overcome? What should be there should be there, pick up chips when the bad news comes, and collect rice when the good news comes. No matter how many stories you hear, the original intention of coming to the market is to make money. If you don’t make money and listen to stories, do you still need to come to the currency circle to listen?]
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1.BTC
There are three days left before the halving. The next few days will be more volatile. The signal on the daily chart is that it is bearish. There are many short-term put options, and there are still many calls in the medium and long term. Therefore, from the data and technical aspects of the past few days, the spot layout, the position to cover the position, and the contract band.
Friends who have been following me for a long time, you should find it easy to find that I rarely say to chase the support level, and the floor short is painful for yourself.
There are two ways to short at support:
1. Short at rebound pressure [For example, yesterday's big cake gave two pressures 6.35 6.48. You can make a profit at either of these two positions]
2. Short at support. The recent key position is 5.96. If this position is not broken, there is no reason to short at the floor. Therefore, the idea of yesterday's rebound was to rely on 6.05
Trading is not based on thoughts. Different positions have different ways of playing. You have to determine your position. Whether you are long or short, there are opportunities. It's just that it's more comfortable to follow the trend
In terms of the big cycle: spot 5.5 5 4.5 can all be covered
Short-term support and pressure of the contract are profitable
Intraday, judge by this trend line
Support 6.2 6.05 Pressure 6.66 6.75
2.ETH
Ether rebounded the day before yesterday and pulled back to the target of 3095 yesterday. As for how I will participate, I have also talked about this. Take a look at that idea [Why not chase the median, either step back to confirm, or break through]
Replenishing Ethereum positions Refer to yesterday's early trading [The only thing to pay attention to is the change of short-term highs and lows, judge the trend of the small cycle, the trend changes from small to large]
Play in the range of 3000-3100 during the day
3. Shanzhai Daily and weekly positions The main narrative sector's coins should be put on
The continued weakness of the Ethereum exchange rate is a good thing
Bitcoin fell, Ethereum Shanzhai fell, and Bitcoin took out its dominant position
Bitcoin stabilized and rose, Shanzhai Ethereum followed, and the space for Bitcoin was unlimited. This is the return of funds to suck blood
Bitcoin's pullback is over, and when it attacks again, the Shanzhai season is almost over. Just do it if the currency is in position