Ethereum is often cited as the foundation for smart contracts and decentralized finance (DeFi). However, it has recently faced challenges in maintaining its position compared to Bitcoin. Although ETH started the year strong and even hit new highs, its progress has slowed compared to BTC. In this article, we will dive into the reasons why top altcoin Ethereum is losing ground and struggling to compete with Bitcoin.

Why Ethereum is losing ground to Bitcoin

1. Performance Difference

Ethereum has lost 12.2% of its value over the past month, while Bitcoin has only lost 1.5% over the same period. This is a significant difference, and suggests that ETH is struggling to catch up to BTC’s bullish performance.
In addition to Bitcoin, Ethereum also underperformed its first-layer competitors. Solana (SOL) and Binance Coin (BNB) performed well, with prices rising by 14.2% and 17.1%, respectively. This shows that Ethereum is also struggling to maintain its dominance amid the growing competition in the cryptocurrency market. In addition, Polkadot, Cardano, and Solana have become increasingly popular by dealing with scalability issues and providing new features that attract users and developers. As they innovate and gain market share in the NFT and DeFi fields, Ethereum is no longer guaranteed to have a dominant position in the market.

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2. Decline in on-chain activity

A big part of Ethereum’s appeal lies in its active decentralized application (DApp) ecosystem. However, recent information suggests that activity on the Ethereum blockchain has been troublingly low, indicating a drop in user engagement and transaction rates. Core metrics such as active addresses and transaction volume have dropped significantly over the last month, indicating a decline in interest in the Ethereum network.
The decline in Ethereum DApp transaction volume, especially on platforms such as Uniswap and MetaMask Swap, highlights a larger pattern of declining interest in Ethereum services. According to Glassnode, the number of active addresses on Ethereum has dropped from 622,963 to 499,448 in the past 30 days. Although the top altcoins still dominate the DeFi industry according to CoinMarketCap, competitors such as Solana are beginning to gain market share due to the surge in activity caused by the memecoin craze and stablecoin trading.

3. Uncertainty of Spot Ethereum ETF

One of the main reasons Ethereum is fighting against Bitcoin is the unknown status of Ethereum ETF approval. In recent weeks, hopes for ETFs have declined as it could attract institutional investment and improve liquidity. The creators of the original US spot Bitcoin ETFs such as VanEck and CoinShares do not believe the SEC will approve the Ethereum application. Regulatory issues and delays have increased uncertainty about Ethereum ETF approval, causing investor confidence in Ethereum to decline.
Limited communication from regulators, particularly the U.S. SEC, has raised doubts about the approval of a spot Ethereum ETF. While analysts and industry experts were initially hopeful, they have now adjusted their expectations, with some predicting a slim chance of approval by the May deadline.

4. The upcoming Bitcoin halving

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The Bitcoin halving has been a focal point of the cryptocurrency industry since the beginning of the year. With less than 10 days to go, the event has shifted investor and financial focus to BTC. Typically, the crypto community eagerly awaits the halving, an event that results in a reduction in Bitcoin supply and increases the value of Bitcoin. This change in focus and funding could cause Ethereum and other alternative coins to underperform.
Investors are optimistic about Bitcoin before the halving event, causing them to adjust their portfolios and move towards Bitcoin instead of assets such as ETH. After the halving, the market cycle usually becomes more optimistic as investors focus on buying Bitcoin and pay less attention to Ethereum. As people's interest in Bitcoin grows, its market dominance is expanding and affecting the performance of altcoins such as Ethereum. Rumors about the halving event may lead to increased volatility and a shift of funds to Bitcoin, resulting in a larger performance difference between BTC and ETH.

5. Regulatory barriers

Ethereum's regulatory environment creates barriers to its expansion and acceptance. While Bitcoin has achieved regulatory clarity, Ethereum's status remains uncertain, especially with respect to its classification as a security. Ambiguous regulation hinders institutional participation and investor trust in Ethereum, which limits its competitiveness with Bitcoin as a store of value and investment option.

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The competition between Ethereum and Bitcoin is complex, stemming from performance differences, fewer on-chain transactions, the upcoming Bitcoin halving, regulatory ambiguity, and a competitive environment. While Ethereum remains a fundamental component of the cryptocurrency space, these obstacles must be addressed to ensure its future sustainability and relevance. As investors navigate the ever-changing world of crypto, it is critical to stay tuned and well-informed to identify potential opportunities and manage the risks associated with Ethereum's uncertain path.

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