With only twelve days remaining until Bitcoin’s fourth Halving, the crypto world is abuzz. Set for April 20, 2024, this upcoming event has the potential to reshape Bitcoin’s future. Historically, Halvings have triggered dramatic price surges, with some exceeding a staggering 8,000%.

Will this Halving be different? Could Bitcoin finally crack the elusive $100,000 mark? Dive deeper to explore what experts predict.

Bitcoin’s Halving Story: Looking at History

Exploring Bitcoin’s past halvings reveals a tale of remarkable price jumps, showcasing the profound impact of this event on the network. The first halving in November 2012 saw Bitcoin’s value skyrocket by a staggering 9,500% within a year, from $12 to $1,166.

Similarly, the second halving in July 2016 sparked a bull run that drove Bitcoin’s price to nearly $20,000, a remarkable 4,100% surge.

Even amidst the chaos of the COVID-19 pandemic, the third Halving in May 2020 witnessed a significant uptick, with Bitcoin reaching an all-time high of $69,000 by November 2021, marking a substantial 700% increase from pre-halving levels.

New Territory Ahead?

As we approach the fourth halving, there’s a mix of anticipation and caution. Unlike previous times, Bitcoin has already surpassed its old peak of $69K. However, analysts are still eyeing the upcoming event closely, curious about its impact on Bitcoin’s price.

Adding to the intrigue, respected analyst PlanB predicts further increases, suggesting Bitcoin could hit $100,000 this year and soar beyond $200,000 in the future, based on his Stock-2-Flow (S2F) model.

The Three Effects of Halving

Bitcoin’s fourth halving brings three main changes. Firstly, it decreases the daily production of new Bitcoin, making it more like gold and reducing inflation. Secondly, it speeds up Bitcoin’s scarcity, given its limited supply of 21 million coins, potentially driving up demand and price. Lastly, it encourages miners to use better equipment, strengthening the network’s security.

What to Expect? 

While past data paints a positive picture, it’s important to remember the cryptocurrency market’s volatility. Predicting its future trajectory remains tricky, with some experts expecting rapid price increases and others a slower climb.

Regardless of the immediate outcome, the 2024 Halving is a big moment in Bitcoin’s story. It reinforces Bitcoin’s essence of scarcity and deflation, solidifying its position as a long-term investment asset.


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