The article was edited on 2023.5.10 11:00 AM. All opinions do not constitute any investment advice! For learning and communication only.
The CPI data will be released at 20:30 tonight. Judging from the current interest rate forecast, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 81%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 18.9%. Before the next interest rate meeting, the CPI data and non-agricultural data will be released again, so tonight's CPI data will only affect the short-term trend. It does not necessarily have a direct relationship with whether interest rate hikes will eventually stop in June. The market has already fallen a week before the data is released. Regardless of the data, the risk has been reduced a lot. There should still be opportunities for short-term bulls, and it is not a big problem to try for an oversold rebound.
Yesterday, the high point of the big cake was around 27818, and the low point was around 27350. The big cake moved sideways yesterday with little fluctuation. It is currently near the lower edge of the box. The probability of a direct break of 27000 is not high. At this position, Fuzhu is still inclined to move in a box-shaped oscillation market. Pay attention to the impact of CPI data in the evening. It is expected that the impact will not be too great. If 27000 is not broken, it is an opportunity to increase positions.
The daily level closed with a cross star yesterday, and the Bollinger Bands began to run parallel. Supported by the lower Bollinger Band 27000, MCAD went down in large volume. The 4-hour level was in the trumpet mouth, the Bollinger Bands ran downward, suppressed by the middle Bollinger Band 28200, and KDJ spread upward. It is expected that the big cake will continue to move sideways during the day.
Pay attention to the support of 26500 and 27000 below, and the pressure of 30000-30200 above. It is recommended to short with a light position near 28500, with a stop loss above 28900, and a target of 28000-27500. It is recommended to go long with a light position near 27300, with a stop loss below 27000, and a target of 27800-28600. The market changes rapidly, and the specific operation is mainly based on real-time strategies.
Ethereum's high point yesterday was around 1860, and its low point was around 1830. Ethereum's volatility yesterday was not large, with only a 30-point fluctuation. Its trend continued to be stronger than that of Bitcoin. It fluctuated slightly upward yesterday and is currently near the lower edge of the box. The 1800-line support is strong, and the probability of a direct break is not high. If this position is not broken, it is an opportunity to get on board.
The daily level closed with a small cross star yesterday, and the Bollinger Bands were in the convergence, supported by the lower Bollinger Band 1800. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands were moving downward, suppressed by the middle Bollinger Band 1870, and the MCAD was shrinking and moving upward. In terms of operation, you can rely on the 1800 line to arrange long orders.
Pay attention to the support of 1800-1780 below, and the pressure of 1960 and 2050 above. It is recommended to short with a light position near 1880, with a stop loss above 1910, and the target is 1850-1830. It is recommended to go long with a light position near 1810, with a stop loss below 1780, and the target is 1860-1930. The market changes in a myriad of ways, and the specific operation is mainly based on real-time strategies.
Statement: The above content is personal opinion and the strategy is for reference only and is not used as an investment basis. If you follow up, you will bear the risks at your own risk.
