1. Macroeconomic analysis
1、Dxy
Daily chart
Daily orders flow downward.
After a rebound here, continue to backtest 101.5. It depends on whether it will fluctuate here again or fall below and test a new low.
As long as the daily line does not break below 102.810, it is still bearish.
Hourly chart
Hourly orders flow downward.
Last night, CPI exceeded expectations and fell directly below 105.1 again to test.
This place is currently in shock. Let’s see how this position reacts to the shock first.
In both cases, the bearish OB tests H1 upwards and continues downwards after gaining liquidity.
Or it may fall below directly and continue downward.
Pay attention to how it goes.
2、#SPX
Daily chart
Daily order flow is upward.
This trend is really not good. The CPI exceeded expectations last night, but the US stock market hit EQH and fell back again.
This is a bit of a top-notch thing again.
Let’s focus on BK first. If BK falls below , then we may have to step back and test D1 to be bullish on OB.
If BK holds on, there is still a chance of testing 4200 upwards.
3、#ES1!
Hourly chart
Hourly orders flow upward.
Here the hunt upwards to the previous high tested the H1 bearish OB and then downwards caused structural damage.
If the upward trend here does not break 4155, then continue downward.
The lower range-L has a high probability of being hunted, so test the H4 bullish OB below.
If you are looking forward to rising, you can only look at breaking through 4155 upwards and then breaking through H1, which is bearish on OB.
3. Cryptocurrency market analysis
1、#BTC
Daily chart
Daily order flow is upward.
It is currently standing on the upper edge of 29500, the annual VWAP, and it is also range-EQ.
The target continues to look upward, first looking at the test of 31500, which is the bearish OB on D1 above.
At the daily level, attention should be paid to falling below 27197. Then the structure of the daily line is damaged, and a daily correction may be necessary. The target is below 4H OB and D1 BK.
H1 chart
Hourly orders flow downward.
Here, a range shock is built around 29740-30743. Last night, the CPI exceeded expectations and caused an upward test of range-H. It did not create a higher high, but instead hunted down range-L.
At present, we are focusing on the test of 30076. If the breakthrough here is stable and enters the premium zone, there will be a greater probability of continuing to break upward.
Otherwise, if it is rejected and continues to fluctuate in the discount zone, the downward probability will be greater, that is, it will continue the downward structure. Let’s first look at the test of the H1 bullish OB below.
M15 chart
M15 order flow is downward, but here is running a shock upward.
Here, the bullish OB stepped back on M15 to obtain liquidity, and then tested the POC upward and was rejected. Then it stepped back on range-L and continued upward. Here, it was rejected by the bearish OB on M15.
For small-level retracement, first pay attention to whether the OB falls below the opening of the Asian market this morning.
If it falls below, you may need to continue to test the bearish OB of M15 below. If it cannot hold up here, it will be the bullish OB of H1 below.
If the Asian market holds here, there is a chance that it will test and break through the M15 bearish OB, and continue to look at the test of range-H.
2、#ETH
Daily chart
Daily order flow is upward.
ETH Shanghai has been upgraded, but it seems that there has not been the surge that everyone expected.
There was a pullback last night, but no new highs were formed.
Personally, I think everyone should pay attention in the short term. If it cannot continue to rise here, the probability of falling back is higher.
If it falls below 1822, focus on 1764 first. If it falls below again, then you have to look at D1 OB below.
Hourly chart
The hourly order flow is upward, but it is still oscillating within the range.
At present, ETH first focuses on the test of BK. If it holds here, it will look upward to test the previous high of 1944. Only when it breaks through and stands firm can we look at 2000.
If there is a hunt, you should pay attention. There is a high probability that you will step down and back.
If BK falls directly below here, then here below we will first focus on the test of range-L, but there is a high probability that we will have to look down at the H1 OB position of 1820.
3、ETH/BTC
Hourly chart
Hourly orders flow downward. It hunts range-L here and then rebounds upward. The trend here is not strong, it is just testing range-EQ, and it does not test the bearish OB of H4 above. Then there is still a probability of continuing to test BK.
Related PA transaction terms
EQH = Equal High - equal height point
EQL = Equal Low - Equal Low
FVG - Fair Value Gap - Unbalanced Gap
HL - Higher Low - Higher Low
HH - Higher High - higher highs
LL - Lower Low - lower low
LH - Lower High - lower high point
HTF - High Time Frame - High time level frame
LTF - Low Time Frame - low time frame
MS - Market Structure - Market Structure
OB - Order Block - Order block
IDM-Induction Point
MSB, BOS, COS, CH structural damage
