The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August and September is 91.2% and 27.4% respectively.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, CME's "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 91.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.8%. By September, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged fell to 27.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut was 66.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut was 6.1%.