The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June and August is 91.3% and 68.6% respectively.

According to Jinshi, CME's "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 91.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.7%. At the same time, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by August is 68.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 29.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 2.2%.