According to Jinshi, CME's "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 95.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.1%. By June, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 16.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.5%.