The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May and June is 94.1% and 63.5% respectively.

According to Jinshi, CME's "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 94.1%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 5.9%. By June, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged is 63.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 32.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 3.9%.