#DOT触底概率的技术分析
1. K-line patterns and price trends
Current price is around 6.865 (closing price), showing a certain rebound in the short term
Recent low point formed around 6.810 (potential support), followed by a price rebound, but the strength of the rebound is limited, indicating cautious buying support below.
The overall K-line has failed to break through the key resistance moving average (EMA55), indicating that the current price is still in a relatively weak adjustment phase.
2. Moving average (EMA) analysis
Short-term moving averages (EMA5, EMA10): EMA5 (6.861) and EMA10 (6.868) are close to flat, indicating a relatively balanced short-term bullish and bearish force.
If the price breaks below EMA5, it may test the 6.810 support again in the short term.
Medium-term moving averages (EMA21, EMA30): EMA21 (6.887) and EMA30 (6.903) constitute short-term resistance, and the price needs to effectively break through to confirm the continuation of the rebound.
Long-term moving average (EMA55): EMA55 (6.940) is an important resistance level, and the price needs to break through here to change the current weak structure.
3. RSI indicator analysis
RSI (6, 14, 24) values: RSI6 = 47.857 (short-term, close to neutral zone)
RSI14 = 43.704 (medium-term, weakly bearish)
RSI24 = 42.597 (long-term, weak)
Analysis: RSI6 shows a slight increase in short-term buying pressure, but has not entered the overbought zone, indicating limited rebound strength.
RSI14 and 24 remain below 50, indicating a weak medium-to-long-term trend, with bears in control.
4. Volume (Vol) analysis
Volume shows no significant increase during the rebound, indicating insufficient confidence from bulls.
Volume increased during the decline, showing more proactive bearish strength.
5. Support and resistance analysis
Support level: 6.810 is the recent low support, if broken, may further drop to the 6.750 area.
Resistance level: short-term resistance is EMA21 (6.887) and EMA30 (6.903).
Medium-term key resistance is EMA55 (6.940), which needs to be effectively broken to confirm the rebound trend.
6. Summary and bottoming probability analysis
Short-term bottoming probability
6.810, as an important support level, has a higher probability of bottoming in the short term, especially before the price effectively breaks below it.
RSI6 close to 50, indicating certain rebound space in the short term.
Conditions for confirming the bottom
Price must effectively hold above 6.810 and break through EMA30 and EMA55.
RSI14 and 24 must break above 50, while volume must significantly increase.
Downside risk
If it breaks below 6.810, it may further drop to the 6.750 or even 6.700 area.
Personal advice!