According to a December 28 market report by Blockware Solutions, Bitcoin price in 2025 could see modest gains or astronomical growth depending on key economic and political decisions. The firm projects a “bear case” scenario where Bitcoin reaches $150,000—a 58% increase from its current $94,981 price—if critical events fail to materialize.
Bear Case Puts Bitcoin at $150K by 2025
This scenario assumes that former President Donald Trump, if re-elected, does not implement his proposed Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. While the industry is optimistic that Trump could take executive action early in his term to make Bitcoin a reserve asset, uncertainty remains. Blockware also warns that aggressive Bitcoin selling by long-term holders and Federal Reserve policies reversing interest rate cuts could limit Bitcoin’s growth potential.
Jack Mallers, CEO of Strike, expressed hope that Trump would take decisive steps to formalize Bitcoin as a national asset, though the timeline for such action remains unclear.
Bull Case Eyes $400K With Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
On the higher end of the spectrum, Blockware outlines a “bull case” where Bitcoin’s price could soar to $400,000 by 2025. This outcome depends on three key factors aligning favorably: a more dovish Federal Reserve policy, accelerated corporate adoption of Bitcoin, and the US government actively building its Bitcoin reserves.
Corporate adoption plays a critical role in this projection. Blockware notes that if one of the “Magnificent 7” tech giants—Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, or Tesla—adds Bitcoin to its balance sheet, it could catalyze broader adoption and price momentum. However, hurdles remain. For example, Microsoft shareholders recently voted against a resolution to adopt Bitcoin during the company’s annual meeting on Dec. 10.
The report also emphasizes that the US government would need to move beyond simply safeguarding its current Bitcoin holdings. While the government possesses approximately 183,850 BTC, valued at $17.36 billion, it would need to actively acquire more Bitcoin to realize the $400,000 target.
Galaxy Digital’s Alex Thorn casts doubt on such a scenario. In a Dec. 27 report, Thorn stated that the US government is unlikely to purchase Bitcoin in 2025, though discussions about a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve may progress.
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