Today's technical analysis

1. Daily chart observation:

  • Moving average analysis:

    • MA7: Current price at 4.2444, short-term 7-day moving average at 4.2755, price below the moving average indicates that the short-term is still in a weak adjustment.

    • MA30 and MA100: The 30-day moving average (4.4196) and the 100-day moving average (4.4359) show a bearish arrangement, and the price is below both, indicating strong resistance above.

  • Candlestick pattern:

    • Yesterday's candlestick showed a bullish line with a lower shadow, indicating weak bearish attempts and a bullish counterattack.

    • Today's opening price is slightly higher than yesterday's closing price; if it continues to hold the support at 4.22, the bulls may further test.

  • MACD indicator:

    • The DIF and DEA dual lines continue to run below the zero axis, and the bearish momentum bars have weakened, indicating that the short-term downward momentum is dissipating, but no obvious reversal signals have appeared.

2. 4-hour chart observation:

  • Moving average system:

    • MA7: Short-term price attempting to stabilize around 4.22, but multiple attempts to break through MA7 have failed, indicating weak bullish strength in the short term.

    • MA30 and MA100 are in a bearish arrangement, and MA30 (4.30) has become a recent resistance level above.

  • Bollinger Bands:

    • The lower Bollinger Band (4.20) provides solid support, with price testing it multiple times without breaking below.

    • The middle band resistance level is at 4.30, the overall opening of the Bollinger Bands is slightly narrowing, indicating that it will enter a consolidation phase in the short term.

  • RSI indicator:

    • The RSI indicator is currently at 46, showing a trend of oscillating downward, indicating that market sentiment leans toward bearish.

Today's operation suggestions

Short-term operations:

  • Entry points: Try shorting in the range of 4.25 ~ 4.28

  • First take profit point: 4.20

  • Second take profit point: 4.15

  • Stop loss point: 4.31


Although there were bullish attempts to counterattack yesterday, the strength was weak, with multiple tests of 4.30 in the 4-hour chart failing, and the moving average system still in a bearish arrangement, indicating a continued bias toward oscillating downward in the short term. However, due to the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands, the price may maintain oscillation and consolidation between 4.20 ~ 4.30, suggesting to adjust positions based on actual trends.

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