Bitcoin has rapidly fallen, failing to hold the 30-day line at 98.8k, exhausting and declining to the 95k line for temporary support. Currently, Bitcoin is in a situation where it can't go up or down, with short-term support at 90,000-92,000 and resistance at 100,000-102,000.
If there are no favorable or unfavorable news in the future, the short-term should continue to operate within this range. In the short-term, one can try high selling and low buying within the range. Long-term, the trend is still that of a bull market, and it is expected that the bull market will last from June to November 2025, so we have plenty of time. Don’t rush if you haven’t made money; the explosion of the bull market mainly occurs in the second half, so adjust your mindset, prepare for low buying, and 2025 will definitely bring wealth!
The altcoins have also followed the market down. Aside from the platform coins sector making new highs against each other in BGB and GT, causing the whole sector to explode, other sectors are generally in a state of decline.
Even though Ethereum has recently seen positive fund flows in the last two U.S. trading days, it cannot change the result of today’s pullback together with the altcoin army. Recent strong coins like SOL, SUI, HBAR, LINK, etc., have also lost their independent market.
Today’s keyword is a general decline. However, the closer we get to this point, the better the opportunity for reallocation. Most altcoins have dropped similarly today, making this a good chance to swap inferior assets for superior ones. Moreover, many projects with poor liquidity often see improved trading volume and liquidity during declines, making it easier to offload and cut losses at this time.
How to distinguish between quality and inferior altcoins?
In this wave of bottom rebounds, projects with less than 3x growth are basically inferior coins, while quality altcoins are easy to find, and you don't even need to look for them yourself; various institutions have already listed them for you.
Presidential Selected: LINK, AAVE, ENA, ONDO
BlackRock Selected: ONDO, CRV, ENA, APT
Grayscale Selected: ZEN, ZEC, XLM, LPT, MANA, ETC
These are the highest quality assets needed in the near future or even next year.
Next is the ecological sector:
The three strong sectors next year will definitely still be AI, RWA, and DEFI. Finding the leaders in these areas to lay out will definitely not lead to pitfalls.
Public Chain
It is best to focus on projects with good technology, strong communities, solid backgrounds, and capital reserves. Currently, many chains are zombie chains, but in a bull market, as long as they can put out tens of millions of USD for the ecosystem, hot money will be attracted in seconds. Therefore, serious public chains should also lay out a few projects, especially for those with more money.
For those with less money, just pick a few AI agents and go for it. Remember I said that next year the AI agent track will at least yield three 10 billion large blue chips.
Some friends currently lack basic viewpoints, chasing highs and cutting losses without plans or strategies, immersing themselves in the excitement of rising and the frustration of falling. The adrenaline rush and dopamine swings indeed make it addictive.
Ultimately, we still need to aim to make money in this market, not just to trade coins for the sake of trading. It’s about making money through trading coins. Everyone understands this cliché, but many people just can't do it. One day without trading feels uncomfortable, and two days without making money leads to anxiety. Only after losing everything can they regain a fleeting sense of calm. What I want to convey is that it's okay to let the market run its course; don't think about bottoming out and then immediately seeing a rise. This wave of market just came down; give it some time to shape up before making decisions.
I still insist that the trend I have been talking about these days is a consolidation to build a base before rising. Whether from the trend, market sentiment, or patterns, I personally believe it is going to consolidate here to form a bottom. A real bull market will give everyone a chance to get on board and will also provide opportunities for everyone to take over, after all, the prosperity of the crypto world relies on the contributions of韭菜.
To put it simply, a bull market is all about back-and-forth washing and harvesting韭菜; a bull market without韭菜 is not a bull market.
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