Seeing someone asking whether Bitcoin will fill the CME gap of 78-81, let's talk about this scenario and the response measures;

First, will this gap be filled? In terms of the time cycle, since it hasn't been long since this gap occurred, combined with historical experiences of filling gaps, there is indeed a possibility that the gap will be filled;

Secondly, if the gap is to be filled, when will it be filled? Recently, the leveraged market has gone through two rounds of historically significant long liquidations, namely a single-day liquidation of 1.5 billion and a cumulative three-day liquidation of 2.1 billion. From this perspective, the likelihood of filling this gap in the short term is relatively low;

Then, as the market is about to enter a recovery phase, Bitcoin needs to confirm a fluctuation range. A reasonable fluctuation range that allows both long and short funds to fully compete should be at least 10,000 points, which is a 10% fluctuation. Considering false breakdowns or false breakouts, the fluctuation could be 15%, so what would be an appropriate range?

88-102 is a possible range, and 78-93 is another possible range. If we move within the 88-102 range, it aligns with the current phase's rhythm. However, if it falls below 90, and cannot recover for a long time, it may go to fill the CME gap at 78, and then repair within the 78-93 range. This would be devastating for the bulls;

Finally: How should we respond? If it's the 88-102 range, this is in line with expectations, and it will be comfortable for us to operate, essentially without any trial and error. But if we directly fill the gap at 78 and move within the 78-93 fluctuation range, we will have a trial and error opportunity. If the funds you use for contracts are only a small portion of your total, once it reaches 78, you can directly continue to increase your investment, and you'll quickly be able to earn back the capital lost during the previous trial and error.