Have you heard? Last night when Powell from the Federal Reserve spoke, the market exploded like a pot boiling over, leading to a massive crash! A 25 basis point rate cut, which should have been good news, resulted in the market crying its eyes out. Why? It's all because of that dot plot, where the median rose to 3.9%, scaring everyone out of their wits.
In short, this dot plot is just the predictions of those Federal Reserve officials, with each person contributing a point, which together forms a graph. It indicates that if next year really meets that expectation, then there will only be two more rate cuts before it's all over, and the rate-cutting trend will have to stop. The hopes for massive liquidity will also go down the drain, and wallets will be thinner. Can the market not be pessimistic?
But do you know? This is actually the old trick of the Federal Reserve! They did this last time too, quickly cutting rates to lure institutions in to feast. When everyone is having a great time, they suddenly throw out a dot plot to catch you off guard, just to make sure you don't get too complacent.
Moreover, this dot plot is completely inaccurate; it’s just something their internal personnel concocted. They can change the data however they want, aiming to shake up the market and keep the initiative firmly in their hands. So, everyone must not be fooled by such news; this is just a ploy to shake people off.
Now, let's talk about next year's situation. Once Trump is in office, the policies will definitely be solid. Tax cuts, lowering inflation, supporting cryptocurrencies, and a strong dollar hegemony will make America great again! These are Trump's specialties. Interest rates will definitely fall, and large-scale liquidity will arrive on schedule; even a seven-year-old veteran can smell it.
Interestingly, Powell may be intentionally doing this, secretly helping Trump. Just like how “Biden” supported Trump back then, this is also a sign of allegiance!
So, do you understand why Powell is doing this? He wants to create a smoke screen in the market so that everyone can't see the situation clearly, and then he can take advantage and pick people up. Once Trump is in office and the liquidity flows in, we can enjoy the feast together!
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