Large holders of the first cryptocurrency have not yet begun active sales, says CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain.

This is indicated by the low values ​​of the realized profit ratio, especially in comparison with the indicators observed during the renewal of historical maximums in previous cycles.

Dynamics of the realized profit ratio; the indicator takes into account wallets with 10-100 BTC, 100-1000 BTC and 1000-10,000 BTC. Data: CryptoQuant.

“This may indicate that whales believe we are not yet in the ATH range for this cycle,” CryptoOnchain noted.

This thesis can be supported by the current values ​​of the on-chain MVRV Z-score metric - slightly above level 3. They are still quite far from the "red zone" of strong overboughtness, indicating an imminent market reversal with a change in its phase.

Dynamics of the MVRV indicator. Data: Bitcoin Magazine.

Another analyst, Avocado_onchain, noted the predominance of demand from spot market participants:

"Amid declining activity in futures, demand in the spot market continues to grow. This indicates a decrease in speculative overheating in futures and an increase in buying pressure on spot markets."

In his opinion, the derivatives segment is approaching “overheating and liquidation cycles.” This, Avocado_onchain is sure, will contribute to the continued growth of Bitcoin and the influx of capital into the spot market.

Earlier, Bitfinex analysts predicted a peak in the price of digital gold in the second half of 2025, at $200,000.

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