Analyst Jamie Coutts shared some data on Twitter. For example, Coinbase has accounted for 11% of global trading revenue. Looking at traditional financial exchanges, it ranks fifth in the world, surpassing Nasdaq. Adding up Dex trading data also accounts for 5% of global trading revenue, even higher than the Hong Kong Exchange (HKEX) and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Jamie Coutts also predicted the possible progress of the exchange business in the future.

Coinbase becomes the fifth largest exchange, surpassing Nasdaq

Source: Jamie Coutts

From the data on the chart, we can see that the London Exchange is still the largest exchange, accounting for 21% of global trading revenue. Next is Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), which accounts for 18% of global trading revenue. The author adds: Its business includes the New York Stock Exchange. The third-placed Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) accounts for 12%, followed by Deutsche Börse with a gap of less than 1%.

The fifth place is the American cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, which even surpasses the well-known Nasdaq. The total transaction fee income of decentralized exchanges can account for 5% of global transaction income, ranking seventh.

Coinbase’s 5-year average annual compound growth rate is as high as 78%, showing strong growth momentum. Dex's five-year average annual compound growth rate is also as high as 106%. In this regard, Jamie Coutts pointed out that the growth rate of centralized exchanges and DEXs is about 2.5 to 4 times that of traditional finance. And DEXs are already one of the most profitable applications in the world. And he also said that the revenue of centralized exchanges is expected to be the same as that of traditional finance in 2024.

Analysts are bullish on RWA and DeFi sectors

If the CEX sector is valued based on Coinbase's price-to-sales (P/S) multiple: the total market value will reach $749 billion, compared with approximately $610 billion for traditional finance. He also predicted that there will be more acquisitions of centralized exchanges and more cross-industry integrations (such as the cooperation between Robinhood and Arbitrum).

In addition, many centralized exchanges will also submit applications, hoping to be listed on traditional exchanges. And centralized exchanges launching their own DEX (whether they are making their own Layer 2 or building a multi-chain protocol) will also become mainstream (as mentioned in the previous paragraph, DEX is one of the most profitable applications).

He also predicted that the process of asset tokenization will accelerate in the future, further pushing up the valuation of the RWA field. When growth investors in traditional finance begin to invest in cryptocurrencies, they will choose DeFi as their first choice, and will eventually increase the market value of the entire field by 4 to 5 times, and some protocols can even exceed the performance of ETH, BTC, and SOL over the same period.

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