$BTCDOM $BTC

Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) across 2-hour, 4-hour, 6-hour, and 8-hour timeframes provides insights into its short-term movements. Here's a detailed analysis

1. Technical Analysis

Current Trend:

BTC.D has been in a downtrend since early December 2024, indicating a shift in market preference towards altcoins.

Moving Averages (MAs)

2H & 4H Timeframes:

Price is trading below the 50-period MA, suggesting continued bearish momentum.

6H & 8H Timeframes:

Price is approaching the 200-period MA, which may act as a dynamic support level.

Relative Strength Index (RSI):

RSI values are hovering around 30-40, indicating that BTC.D is nearing oversold conditions, which could precede a short-term rebound.

Support and Resistance Levels

Support:

Located at 48.5%, a level previously tested in November 2024.

Resistance:

Immediate resistance at 50%, aligning with the 50-period MA on shorter timeframes.

2. Fundamental Analysis

Market Sentiment:

The recent surge in Bitcoin's price above $100,000 has attracted significant investor interest.

However, the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, has led to increased institutional participation, potentially impacting BTC.D.

Altcoin Performance:

Altcoins have shown resilience, with some outperforming Bitcoin in recent weeks, contributing to the decline in BTC.D.

3. Matrix Analysis

Applying the 9-0, 1-3, 3-6, 6-9 matrix:

BTC.D appears to be in the 3-6 phase, indicating a mid-recovery period

A transition to the 6-9 phase could signal a temporary rebound before a potential decline.

Conclusion:

Based on the technical indicators, fundamental factors, and matrix analysis, BTC.D is likely to experience a short-term rebound in the coming hours, followed by a continuation of the bearish trend.

Recommendation

For Altcoin Investors:

Consider accumulating altcoins during the short-term rebound in BTC.D, as a subsequent decline could lead to an altcoin rally

For Bitcoin Investors:

Monitor BTC.D closely a sustained decline may indicate a shift in market dynamics favoring altcoins