🔹 Larger Cohorts Than U.S. ETFs or MicroStrategy Are Dictating Bitcoin Price: Van Straten
Since Donald Trump's election victory on November 5, bitcoin (BTC) has surged from $67,000 to around $100,000, accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. Bitcoin's total trade volume has surpassed $100 billion, with futures trading reaching an all-time high of about $120 billion on November 17. However, futures volume has since stabilized around $100 billion, while spot trading volume has doubled from $6 billion to $12 billion, and U.S. ETF trade volume has also risen to $4 billion daily.
Bitcoin is fluctuating around the $100,000 mark, influenced by substantial selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs), who have sold 843,113 BTC since September. Meanwhile, short-term holders (STHs) have accumulated 1,081,633 BTC during the same period.
In comparison, MicroStrategy has added 197,250 BTC to its holdings, while U.S. ETFs have increased their total by approximately 205,000 BTC. For bitcoin to break above $100,000 decisively, LTHs need to reduce their selling or new investors must enter the market to drive demand.