It is now December 2024, and you and I are standing on the threshold of another round of the four-year cycle of cryptocurrencies. Everything is like in physics: action - counteraction, halving - bull, peak - collapse. Bitcoin cycles work so clearly that you can build a calendar. Let's sort everything out on the shelves.
---
Start of Cycle: Market Bottom (2022-early 2023)
November 2022 - January 2023: Deep bottom. Bitcoin was trading around $16-18k at the time. Investors looked like they had lost all hope. Altcoins? Just cryptocurrency trash.
Signal: The trading volume is minimal, the media is writing about the "death of crypto", and "old homies" are starting to buy coins. This is a post-peak 2021 classic.
---
Acceleration before halving (2023)
Spring-Summer 2023: Slow growth begins. Bitcoin rises to $30,000. Newbies are skeptical, but veterans know it's just the beginning.
October 2023: Optimism is already felt in the market. Little by little, institutes are coming in, remembering that halving is no joke.
December 2023: Consolidation. Although the bull has not arrived yet, everyone understands: 2024 will be an interesting year.
---
Halving: April 2024
Here is our turning point - April 14, 2024. The miner reward is reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This is the moment when the supply of Bitcoin becomes more scarce and the demand gradually starts to exceed the supply.
April-June 2024: The market is still fluctuating. Bitcoin breaks through $50,000. Newbies start feeling greedy.
September 2024: The beginning of a real bull market. The media is again talking about the fact that "Bitcoin is the gold of the 21st century."
---
End of 2024: Fast and Furious turned on
November-December 2024: We are here and now. Bitcoin has already exceeded $98 thousand, altcoins are accelerating even more. Your neighbors who used to joke about "digital candy" now ask: "How to buy crypto there?"
Signal: This is just the beginning of a bullish megacycle. We expect peak madness in 2025.
---
Peak: 2025 is the end of the game for beginners
January-March 2025: Bitcoin flies to $150-180 thousand, altcoins show x10 and even x20. Beginner investors enter at the maximum, confident that "now everything will definitely only grow."
Summer-autumn 2025: The absolute peak. Bitcoin may exceed $200,000. And here the collapse begins: whales sell, leaving newcomers with expensive coins.
---
Bear market: 2026–early 2027
2026: Gradual decline begins. Bitcoin falls to $70-80 thousand, altcoins fall even more. Newbies leave the market, disappointed in the crypt.
Mid 2027: Bottom again. Prices stabilize and a new cycle begins.
---
Visnovok
Cryptocurrency cycles are so predictable that they can be drawn with a ruler. Today is December 2024, and we are already in the midst of a bull market. Next year - the peak of optimism, and in 2026 - a new depression.
The only question is: do you plan to play by the rules of the cycle or buy at the peak and complain about an unfair market?
