I. MARKET ASSESSMENT
Trend:
Short term: Mildly bearish, testing $0.3950 support (MA50).
Medium term: Accumulation, range $0.3850-$0.4300.
Long term: Bullish, support $0.3500 (MA200).
Indicator:
RSI(6): 40.3, RSI(24): 45.9 (near oversold, slightly down).
MACD: Negative histogram, selling force is weakening.
Bollinger Bands: Price near middle band, consolidation.
Support/Resistance:
Support: $0.3850, $0.3500.
Resistance: $0.4100 (MA20), $0.4300.
AND:
MA20 < MA50: Short term down.
MA200: Slight increase, long term support.
Volume: Low, weak cash flow.
II. TREND FORECAST
Upside scenario:
Target: $0.4100, $0.4300.
Conditions: Hold above $0.3950, RSI > 50.
Rate: 40%, time frame: 1-3 days.
Downside scenario:
Target: $0.3850, $0.3500.
Risk: Break $0.3850 with high volume, RSI < 30.
Rate: 60%, time frame: 1-2 days.
III. TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
Current position:
Hold Short if price < $0.4000, target $0.3850/$0.3500.
Close Long if $0.3850 breaks.
Stop loss: Long $0.3900, Short $0.4050.
New transaction:
Long: Entry $0.4010, TP $0.4100/$0.4300, SL $0.3900.
Short: Entry $0.3840, TP $0.3700/$0.3500, SL $0.3950.
R/R: Long ~2.5:1, Short ~2:1.
Margin: Long 2-3x, Short 3-5x.
Grid Bot:
Price range: $0.3700-$0.4300.
Recommendation: Suitable for accumulation status.
IV. WARNING
Price testing $0.3850, high risk of breakdown.
Low volume increases volatility.
Unexpected news can change trends.