What impact does #美PCE年率创半年来最大增幅 have on the cryptocurrency market?

The year-on-year increase in the US PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index) has reached the highest level in six months, which usually has a certain influence on the financial markets, especially in the cryptocurrency market. The PCE is a key indicator used by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to measure inflation, and it is particularly important as it reflects the price changes consumers experience when purchasing goods and services.

If the PCE year-on-year rate rises sharply, it usually means:

Increased inflation: A significant rise in the PCE year-on-year rate indicates increasing inflationary pressures, which may lead the Fed to further raise interest rates to control inflation. This anticipated rate hike will impact market liquidity, particularly having a direct effect on risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies.

Changes in Fed policy expectations: If the PCE year-on-year rate rises too quickly, it may intensify market expectations for Fed rate hikes, increasing investor demand for US dollar assets, which may strengthen the dollar and potentially put pressure on the cryptocurrency market. A stronger dollar typically puts pressure on cryptocurrency prices like Bitcoin, as investors tend to prefer holding dollars over high-risk assets.

Response of the cryptocurrency market:

Possible short-term decline: Due to the impact of anticipated rate hikes and a stronger dollar, the cryptocurrency market may experience a certain decline in the short term, especially for mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Investors usually reduce their investments in high-risk assets in an environment of Fed rate hikes.

Long-term impact is uncertain: Although there may be pressure in the short term, in the long run, cryptocurrencies may still serve as a hedge against inflation, especially in a high-inflation expectation environment. Therefore, while the rise in PCE may lead to short-term market volatility, over time, investors may reconsider cryptocurrencies as a digital gold attribute.

Changes in market sentiment: The sentiment in the cryptocurrency market is usually very sensitive, especially to macroeconomic data. When inflationary pressures increase, investors' risk appetite may decrease, leading them to prefer safe-haven assets. This change in sentiment can cause fluctuations in market prices.