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In this analysis, I will review the $NFP chart, which, based on a breakout strategy, could offer a good entry point for spot buying and futures trading. Since this coin’s chart has recently become available, I will skip the weekly timeframe analysis and focus on the daily and 4-hour timeframes.
📅 Daily Timeframe: A Critical Resistance Zone
In this timeframe, alongside Bitcoin's rally toward 99,000 and the establishment of a new ATH, NFP also experienced an upward move. It began its rise from the 0.1803 support level, testing it once before successfully breaking the 0.2599 resistance on the second attempt. Currently, it has reached a significant resistance zone between 0.3050 and 0.34.
🔍 Within the range of 0.1803 to 0.3050, there’s a rounding formation visible, which I’ve marked with a curved trendline. Over time, this curved trendline has reduced the bearish momentum in the market. Even after the initial breakdown of the 0.1803 support, this trendline provided support, pulling the price back above the level in the subsequent candle and invalidating the breakdown. Afterward, strong buying volume entered the market, driving the price toward the 0.3050 resistance.
📊 Currently, the decreasing volume during the pullback suggests a healthy trend. However, we must consider the importance of the resistance zone, as it’s the most critical area for this coin at the moment.
✅ If strong buying volume enters, the price could break through this zone and target higher levels. The next target would be 0.3990. If the RSI enters the overbought zone, we could expect higher targets like 0.5874, and the ultimate target would be the ATH at 1.1522.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers
In this timeframe, I’ve marked the resistance zone with multiple lines to make it easier to identify potential futures trading triggers.
🔼 Currently, the trend appears bullish, and I prefer to open long positions. A breakout above 0.3061 would be a suitable trigger for a long position. However, the issue is that, despite recent price increases, the volume has been decreasing, which isn’t a positive sign for the continuation of the trend.
📈 If 0.3061 resistance is broken, the next trigger would be 0.3495. This trigger is more reliable than 0.3061 because the latter would lead into a resistance zone, whereas breaking 0.3495 would exit this zone, allowing for smoother price increases.
🔽 On the downside, if the 0.2595 level is broken, the price will likely enter a corrective phase, potentially dropping to 0.2167. The critical RSI support to maintain bullish momentum is 44.01.