The Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting minutes from three o'clock in the morning show that officials generally support a cautious approach to future interest rate cuts in the context of a robust economy and slowly cooling inflation. This doesn't say anything, it doesn't mention whether rates will be cut or not, which made me wake up at three in the morning just to read this.
According to ChainCatcher, the data released by the U.S. Department of Labor at nine-thirty shows that the number of initial jobless claims decreased last week, indicating a cooling job market but no large-scale layoffs. The number of continuing unemployment claims reached its highest level in three years, and labor market data has been mixed this year.
The revised annualized quarterly GDP for the U.S. in the third quarter is 2.8%, in line with expectations and the previous value. The revised annualized quarterly core PCE price index for the U.S. in the third quarter is 2.1%, lower than the expected 2.2% and the previous value of 2.20%. If this data continues to be strong, the Federal Reserve may continue its hawkish policies, leading to a spread of market fear, but that hasn't happened.
Federal Reserve officials will hold their last policy meeting of the year on December 17-18, so everyone can pay attention to the timing of interest rate cuts.
Both of these data points are below expectations, making future interest rate cuts in the U.S. more likely, and before the actual data is released, the short-term market is favorable.