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Important notice: From now on, daily trading strategy will be released from 8 AM to 9 AM and night trading strategy from 8 PM to 9 PM. There will be two posts every day, hoping to provide references for everyone during day trading. Due to the limited volatility in day trading, the price range may be slightly smaller, so please pay attention to market operations. For more real-time strategies on various cryptocurrencies and spot trading, please follow the public account to receive.
BTC
12-hour market review: After the midnight line change, it surged to 94700 and then pulled back, reaching a new low of 90800 before rebounding to the current 93600.
Recent focus: Resistance in the range of 94300--96000, support in the range of 91000--90000. Pay attention to acceleration after breaking the range.
Structural pattern: 2-hour PB signal, neck line pressure in the range of 94300--95000.
Trading thoughts<<<<<<
Long position: Buy on a pullback within the range of 90000--91000 as long as the entity does not break below. Look for bottom formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go long.
Long position: Buy on a pullback within the range of 86300--88000 as long as the entity does not break below. Look for bottom formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go long.
Short position: Sell on a rebound within the range of 94300--95000 as long as the entity does not break above. Look for top formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go short.
Short position: Sell on a rebound within the range of 97700--99900 as long as the entity does not break above. Look for top formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go short.
Personal opinion:
I am personally bearish on BTC at the moment; the recent high to reference is the historical high of 99600. If it does not break 99600, I will continue to open short positions on the rebound. And I will lay out short positions until a PB signal appears on the daily chart.
Currently, the long position strategy indicates that the low point of 90800 in this pullback is a good reference. Set the stop loss for long positions around 90000; I personally believe that positioning long around this point is fine.
Of course, all positions, whether long or short, must at least see a candlestick signal on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts; do not open a position without a signal.
Real-time strategy orders, please follow the public account to receive.
Everyone should pay attention to position management and maintain a rigorous holding strategy.
Graphical explanation: The yellow line represents the structure and shape lines, the red line represents the slope line of the waves, and the white line represents the support and resistance of the key neck line. Sell near the upper part in the range, buy near the lower part in the range. If the entity breaks support and resistance, light positions can be taken to short or go long. Set stop loss at the top and bottom of the breaking candlestick.
ETH
12-hour market review: After the midnight line change and a sharp drop, it has moved up to 3430 in a one-sided manner.
Recent focus: Resistance in the range of 3500--3530, support in the range of 3255--3160. Pay attention to acceleration downwards after breaking.
Structural pattern: 2-hour PB signal, watch for rebounds that do not break the previous high before continuing downward.
Trading thoughts<<<<<<
Short position: Sell on a rebound within the range of 3450--3430 as long as the entity does not break above. Look for top formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go short.
Short position: Sell on a rebound within the range of 3550--3530 as long as the entity does not break above. Look for top formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go short.
Long position: Buy on a pullback within the range of 3280--3250 as long as the entity does not break below. Look for bottom formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go long.
Long position: Buy on a pullback within the range of 3050--3100 as long as the entity does not break below. Look for bottom formation signals on the 5-minute or 30-minute charts to go long.
Personal opinion:
I am personally bearish on ETH at the moment; after this rise, I have been shorting BTC and ETH.
There are two reasons:
First: This rapid rise has no technical pullback.
Second: To prevent this year's black swan events.
If this rebound does not break the high point of 3550, I will continue to lay out short positions until a stop loss and reversal signal appears on the daily chart.
Real-time strategy orders, please follow the public account to receive.
Everyone should pay attention to position management and maintain a rigorous holding strategy.
Graphical explanation: The yellow line represents the structure and shape lines, the red line represents the slope line of the waves, and the white line represents the support and resistance of the key neck line. Sell near the upper part in the range, buy near the lower part in the range. If the entity breaks support and resistance, light positions can be taken to short or go long. Set stop loss at the top and bottom of the breaking candlestick.
A cold knowledge nugget for the day:
How to set up long positions with light exposure: Divide the total position you intend to enter into 2-4 orders. After entering, do not sell arbitrarily; for long positions, do not exit unless there are double or triple reversal signals on the daily chart. (Light positions should not be too heavy, otherwise you can't withstand the fluctuations from pin bars.)
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The author has been engaged in financial market investment research for many years, currently mainly analyzing and guiding stock, futures, and cryptocurrency contract/spot operations. If you want to learn more about real-time guidance, consultation on unwinding positions, and learning trading skills, please follow the [Day Trading Full-Time Trader] WeChat public account for more real-time market analysis.
