Bitcoin Trend Outlook and Investment Response Strategy

The subsequent trend of Bitcoin presents three potential scenarios:

Scenario One: BTC has not yet completed its correction process, and the current rebound is merely a temporary phenomenon. It is expected to continue declining, with its price possibly falling to the range of 87,000 - 89,000. The basis for this scenario lies in the fact that the previous market adjustments may not have fully released the downward momentum, and technical indicators or market sentiment still exert pressure on prices to decline further.

Scenario Two: BTC has indeed corrected adequately. However, due to changes in market rhythm, it will enter a sideways consolidation phase in the short term, lasting approximately a few days. Once the buying power from the U.S. recovers, the upward trend will resume. This scenario takes into account the influence of capital from different regions of the international market on BTC price trends. The U.S. market, as an important participant, may see the recovery of buying power as a catalyst for a new round of increases.

Scenario Three: BTC has fully corrected and is about to quickly initiate a new round of increases. However, considering multiple factors, the probability of this scenario occurring is relatively low.

Overall assessment indicates that the probabilities of Scenario One and Scenario Two occurring are relatively similar and both are higher than that of Scenario Three.

Regardless of which scenario ultimately becomes reality, at the current stage, the strategy that investors should adopt is to cautiously increase their positions while strictly controlling risks. This is because whether there is a subsequent increase or sideways consolidation, increasing positions offers opportunities for greater gains; and even if a decline occurs, if risk is managed properly, losses can be reduced through reasonable position management. In summary, this is not the best time to sell or short, and investors should focus on long-term investment value and risk balance while flexibly responding to the uncertainties of the BTC market. #XRP市场价格动向 #比特币盘整分析 #NOT市场动态 #美国GDP数据即将公布 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？

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