In the URPD data of the past few days, I can clearly see a large number of loss-making investors exiting the market due to concerns about the upcoming trends. Many investors even believe that the $80,000 gap in CME needs to be filled, which also conveys some information that is troubling for loss-making investors.

Investing itself is difficult, and there are very few times when it goes smoothly. How many friends still remember the eight-month fluctuation around $26,000 in 2023? In 2024, there was also an eight-month fluctuation around $64,000, especially compared to the bull market in 2021 where many corrections occurred during the upward trend, with some even reaching nearly 30%. But looking back now, how many friends lost money and left the market never to have the opportunity to re-enter.

Of course, I'm not saying that the current situation is the same as in 2021, but I hope everyone can analyze the current situation. Have all the positives already materialized? Are there still factors that could help or hinder the rise of BTC prices? For example, Microsoft's vote on December 11 is a double-edged sword, and the formal inauguration of Trump on January 21 should have better expectations. However, between December 11 and January 21, what will happen is unknown to anyone.

The worst-case scenario could be a sudden economic recession, the emergence of a black swan event, which would leave everyone with nothing to play, or a significant rise in unemployment leading the Federal Reserve to accelerate interest rate cuts, or a sharp rebound in inflation causing the Federal Reserve to stop cutting rates or even consider raising rates again. These are all possible situations, so we need to learn the current trends. If the probability of positive events is higher, hold firmly; if the probability of negative events is greater, exit the market as soon as possible.#比特币关键区间 #NOT市场动态 #BNBChain生态MEME币发力 #XRP市场价格动向