In the altcoin trading, USDT lending rate can be regarded as an effective reference indicator!
For most altcoin non-coin contracts, borrowing USDT to buy coins is the main way to increase leverage, so this interest rate can reflect the leverage ratio and market sentiment of the altcoin market.
When the USDT lending rate is extremely high (annual interest rate of 50% and above), it indicates that the sentiment of the altcoin market is extremely excited and the leverage is almost full. At this time, there is little room for leverage, it is difficult to continue buying, and the excessively high interest rate makes some borrowers overwhelmed. Selling coins also forms selling orders, and the risk of callback or decline increases greatly, which means that the market risk is too high.
On the contrary, when the interest rate is extremely low (annual interest rate of 5% and below), it means that the sentiment of the altcoin market is extremely low, the leverage utilization rate is low, and the altcoins are mostly at the bottom or stage bottom. The probability and space of further decline are small, and there is ample room for leverage. At this time, the winning rate and profit and loss ratio of buying altcoins are often higher.
For example, from August 20 to October 20 last year, Binance USDT lending rate was almost always below 5%, which was the brewing period of the 2023.10-2024.3 altcoin market; from February 29 to March 15 this year, its interest rate exceeded 60% several times and continued to be above 40%, which corresponded to the end of that round of altcoin market. From August 6 to October 13 this year, the interest rate continued to be below 8%, and was close to 5% in mid-September, which was also the brewing period of the altcoin market.