Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)
Author | Nan Zhi (@Assassin_Malvo)
"Another thousand-fold golden dog appeared tonight," "I missed a hundred-fold after a nap," I wonder if you have ever experienced this; golden dogs always ambush when you're not around, and by the time you react, the market value has already exceeded eight digits. So, when are golden dogs most frequent? Is it necessary to be online during this time to have a chance? Odaily will review this in this article.
When do golden dogs appear?
We first selected the tokens from Pump.fun that rank in the top one thousand by market value as our research subjects, obtaining the following token creation time points. Here, a creation time point of 0 means that the token was created between 00:00-01:00 Beijing time, and so on. From this graph, it is clear that after 9 PM, the frequency of golden dogs jumps from 2% to 4% and continues to rise, peaking between 3 AM and 6 AM, then falling back to 2%-3% in the morning.
To verify whether this pattern is correct, we expanded our research subjects to include tokens ranked in the TOP 200 and TOP 2000 by market value. To illustrate more intuitively, we added a bar chart shown below. It can be seen that for tokens in the TOP 2000 by market value, the frequency of golden dogs appearing significantly increases after 9 PM, and similarly, the period from 3 AM to 6 AM has a significant advantage.
Is there still a chance if you miss the night?
For most users, it is difficult to get in on dogs at midnight, so does missing the first wave mean there’s no chance left? The author has compiled the interval from the creation of the TOP 20 tokens to their first peak, and the results are shown in the figure below. On average, it takes 52.7 hours to ferment to the first peak, while it takes an average of 58.7 days to reach the current TOP 20 status, indicating that even if you miss the opening, there is still ample time to get in.
Data Source
The pump market cap rankings can be obtained through the pump front-end API, which includes more than ten items of information such as token address, symbol, creation and end times, etc. For TOP tokens, this API can be used to obtain them. The author has tested and can obtain tokens ranked in the top 2050 by market value.
For tokens not in the ranking, the creation time can be queried through the front-end API. The last transaction of this API is the first buy transaction by dev, and the creation time of the token can be obtained through this transaction.