A year has passed, and Bitcoin is approaching the $100,000 mark, currently priced at $99,000, just a step away from the psychological barrier of a century. Looking back at this year, Bitcoin hit $73,777 in March, and after a long adjustment of 7 months, it finally erupted. It has been a relentless surge, constantly refreshing historical highs. Meanwhile, the altcoin sector has shown a lack of momentum, with an adjustment period lasting 8 months, only releasing rebound signals in a sporadic and rapid rotation.
Perhaps our understanding of the market needs to be re-examined. From the rise of the overall meme coins in the past to the performance of traditional mainstream coins and old coin types recently, the rotation logic is quietly changing. The popular concepts we expected, such as public chains, AI, RWA, and game tokens, have not become the protagonists as anticipated. The market seems to have given everyone a lesson in a way that is 'anti-human nature and anti-logic.'
The essence of the market is always correct, but it is merciless and cruel.
The capital market has always been a psychological game. The American financial system has over two centuries of experience accumulation, and Wall Street capitalists possess countless strategies and tools that are beyond our reach to manipulate human nature, wash out positions, and cut losses. Their goal is to make you give up the chips in your hand, whether due to panic selling or greed chasing highs. But will the spring of altcoins come again? The answer is yes, but the form will change somewhat.
Why will the altcoin season not be absent?
The current rise of Bitcoin is driven by major capital and supported by massive inflows of ETF funds. The market expects that the peak of this Bitcoin bull market will mostly be between $120,000 and $130,000; however, if market sentiment continues to ferment, reaching $200,000 is not impossible.
Relying solely on $BTC rising is insufficient to support the prosperity of the entire market. $ETH and the explosion of altcoins are inevitable steps in capital expansion. This is not only for the overall liquidity of the market but also to attract more funds to enter. Locked liquidity (whether it is trapped chips or dead inventory) is difficult to activate without sufficient upward lure.
Will the main capital directly abandon these potential funds? Obviously not. The more likely scenario is that capital activates the altcoin sector, creating a wealth effect that stimulates the market's enthusiasm and vitality. This not only attracts external funds but also allows for the continuous high-position distribution of chips during the rally, achieving a win-win in efficiency and profit.
Find your best timing.
For ordinary investors, this is a war against capital. The ultimate goal of the market is to harvest, and what we can do is find suitable targets and patiently wait for the arrival of capital speculation. Opportunities for unloading will always be left for those who are prepared, and our task is to avoid becoming the 'fated person' who gets cut.
The charm of a bull market lies in the fact that it often serves as the reason for the majority to incur losses. The rapid rise in the market can easily lead to irrationality, resulting in the embarrassing situation of 'earning the index without making money.'
Maintain patience and wait for the gifts of time.
The crypto market is an emotion-driven market, but time is the greatest driving force. The altcoin market we desire will eventually come. Do not be in a hurry, and do not be confused by short-term fluctuations. Patience is the rarest quality in investing, and what we need to do is greet the market's madness with the most rational mindset. Trust in the market's cycles, believe in the value of time, and one day, you will thank your present self. Let us wait together for our bull market carnival, awaiting the arrival of capital lifting the market!
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