$BTC
Analysis of BTC/USDT based on 3 timeframes:
1. CURRENT SITUATION:
- Price: $98,801 (+0.40%)
- 24h range: $97,122 - $99,588
- Stable volume
- Trading above all MAs
2. TECHNICAL INDICATORS:
- RSI(6): 87.91 -> Strong OVERBOUGHT area
- StochRSI: 67.48 -> High area
- MACD: Positive but showing signs of divergence
3. SCENARIOS:
A. CORRECTION scenario (70%):
- Target 1: $98,000 (MA20)
- Target 2: $97,200-97,500
- Strong support: $97,000
Reasons:
- RSI overbought
- Bearish divergence on MACD
- Need to accumulate before breaking $100K
B. CONTINUATION scenario (30%):
- Target: $99,500-100,000
- Breakout needs volume confirmation
- May have strong pullback afterwards
4. TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS:
Short term:
- DO NOT LONG at the current price level
- Wait for a pullback to 97,200-97,500
- Stop loss: 96,800
- Take profit: 98,500-99,000
Medium term:
- Accumulate when testing MA50
- Hold current position
- Do not use high leverage
5. RISK MANAGEMENT:
- Do not FOMO into the peak
- Split orders for DCA
- Set tight SL
- Take profit in parts
- Do not all-in on one order
6. IMPORTANT NOTES:
- BTC is in a long-term uptrend
- May accumulate sideways before 100K
- Many short-term profit-taking pressures
- Need to watch volume to confirm breakout
Conclusion:
- CAUTION at the current price level
- WAIT FOR PULLBACK to enter
- RISK MANAGEMENT is the top priority
- DO NOT CHASE PRICE in this area