The recent market trends are really a bit confusing: Bitcoin is constantly hitting new highs, clearly in a bull market rhythm; but at the same time, altcoins like ETH have plummeted back to square one, giving a complete bear market feeling.

Actually, it was mentioned before that there might be a black swan event brewing. Now it seems that the big goose is threatening to use nuclear weapons, while the little crow says, 'I don't believe you have the guts,' and the Americans are evacuating while warning everyone. You may choose not to trust the character of the Americans, but their information-gathering ability is definitely not to be overlooked. Currently, over 30 countries around the world are in a state of war; it's just that the two big powers, China and the US, haven't directly engaged, so everyone hasn't felt the urgency of a 'world war,' but a volcanic eruption might already be on its way.

Back to the crypto world, Bitcoin has long achieved real decentralization due to Satoshi Nakamoto's disappearance, and this characteristic has actually made it a safe-haven asset in an unstable world, which has been repeatedly verified. But what about altcoins? They are almost indistinguishable from centralized assets in the real world. Once a black swan event erupts, what makes them able to withstand a crash?

The current market logic is very clear: Bitcoin may soar to $100,000, but altcoins are like seaweed, only having a chance to thrive once the overall environment stabilizes.