The world is bustling with people, all for the sake of profit; the world is bustling with people, all for the sake of profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Talking about Coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, and striving to deliver the most valuable currency market information to the majority of coin friends. Welcome all coin friends to pay attention and like, and reject any market smoke bombs.
After waiting for so many days, we finally saw the birth of the real negative line, officially announcing that the era of deep callback has arrived. Perfectly stuck at the so-called market value peak, many friends are asking Lao Cui, why Bitcoin has a callback and a posture of not rising after reaching the market value of the previous bull market, the core problem is still at the level of capital volume. Don’t think that a large amount of capital will be invested in the currency circle after the interest rate cut. You can compare the trend of Lao A and US stocks. The liquidity of the two fluctuates at the trillion level almost every day. Bitcoin has the best circulation in the currency circle, and it only accounts for 200 billion in trading volume, which is still counting the transaction amount of the contract. The size of the currency circle is far from meeting the requirements of the traditional capital market. At present, there has indeed been an interest rate cut. It still takes some time for the capital of the interest rate cut to circulate to the currency circle. Simply put, at this stage, time is exchanged for space. Moreover, the only market that has run past the US stock market and the US dollar is the currency circle. This rate of return is enough. It can be said that Lao Cui is willing to give a performance score of 10 for this round of growth.
With the increase of newbie users recently, the update rate of Lao Cui's articles has indeed slowed down. So don't have too high expectations for Lao Cui's articles. Lao Cui's private messages are almost 20 people every day. I still hope that you can forgive me. Lao Cui will try his best to reply to everyone if you have any questions. Since the number of newbie users has increased, Lao Cui also reminds everyone that the current trend of the bull market has almost gone halfway, and it is almost impossible to buy the bottom of the spot. So the recent approach must have some changes. In the first half of the year, we have been focusing on the layout of the spot, and in the second half of the year, we will return to our short-term market. In the near future, we will try to be fast as much as possible. The holding time must be reduced, and we must be prepared to clear the position every day. The holding time of spot users must also be changed, from 70,000 to 90,000. Stop profit must also be put on the agenda. After all, it depends on how much is left in everyone's pocket. This sentence does not mean the end of the bull market, but just reminds everyone that the bull trend still exists in our market.
Yesterday's decline was caused by both the amount of funds in terms of market value and Powell's speech. Lao Cui has reminded everyone before. After the interest rate cut in November, there will definitely be speculation about the possibility of no interest rate cut in December. This is the typical American style of doing things. Even if it is an established fact, there will be suspense. Not only do they want to cut interest rates, but they also don't want retail investors to make profits so easily. The growth rate of the currency circle must have exceeded most people's expectations. Bitcoin's 100,000 mark is indeed not so easy to break through, and 90,000 has already shown a decline. You can think about it. In the last round of bull market, among all the participating volumes, the biggest promoters belonged to Musk and Grayscale. With the continuous reduction of Grayscale's holdings since this year, it was eventually replaced by the intervention of BlackRock and traditional capital. There is still a huge difference between the two. Turnover means that the market situation has improved, and it also means that our opponents are stronger. The pull of 20,000 points in a week was almost impossible before, but this year has created a historical precedent, and some people are happy and some are worried. It is expected that the reversal of the bull market will be feared every day, so it is better to take advantage of this opportunity to accumulate your own capital.
As for the future trend, today's trading volume has basically explained a big problem. The transaction amount of Bitcoin today is less than 130 billion, which is nearly 50 billion lower than the same period. There seems to be a sign of capital withdrawal, and the phenomenon of high-level selling is more obvious, all thanks to Powell's words. Everyone pays attention to the overall market value. The market value has not decreased significantly, which can only indicate the depth of the correction after the surge. For the big capital impact, they did not choose to give up the currency market. There are still more people willing to be optimistic about the currency market. Especially today's news is also very interesting. It directly broke that Trump's allies are about to sell the Fed's gold reserves and prepare to buy 1 million bitcoins. Lao Cui converted it to nearly 90 billion US dollars. Once this fund system really enters the currency market, it may be the next BlackRock size, directly becoming the second largest currency market after Satoshi Nakamoto. At present, Bitcoin has become the world's eighth largest asset, and it is only 1 trillion away from the seventh Saudi Aramco. This bull market is likely to directly break the historical level of asset peak highs. Let us wait and see.
This article was created on the 15th, and it is still an old problem. Indeed, as the market has been getting better and better in recent times, the number of users has also gradually increased, so I sincerely apologize to everyone for the efficiency of article production; if you want to enter the market, you should still follow the market conditions. As long as there is a deep callback of more than 3,000 points, you can ambush long orders, and the stop loss position can reach the same point as the take profit. For example, if the take profit is 3,000 points, you must be able to accept a stop loss of 3,000 points. When you place orders yourself, you must at least make the risk and profit the same. Whether it is a unilateral market or even if you are completely sure of the market trend, you must keep a clear mind to place orders. Finally, I emphasize that you must consider the risks first when entering the market, and you can accept the risk problem before choosing the entry opportunity. The bullish trend has always been our main focus. There is no reason to go short in the currency circle at this stage, especially the remarks made by Powell the day before yesterday. From Lao Cui's perspective, it is not aimed at the currency circle. It has always been the idea of the old Americans to promote the theory of not cutting interest rates. Its purpose is also very obvious. It is not like ordinary retail investors and foreign capital intervening in the US market at a low price. This is a disguised protection mechanism for their own capital. For us retail investors, what we need to observe is their own actions. A gentleman judges by deeds rather than intentions. For example, we can observe whether the employed population has returned to expectations and their so-called industrial repatriation, whether they have really provided enough tax revenue, and whether this tax revenue is really enough for them to repay the national debt interest this year. If any of these cannot be achieved, a rate cut is an inevitable result. Just remember that if the Americans have other options, they will not cut interest rates easily. They will definitely choose to drag down our domestic economy. At this stage, the Americans have really run out of tricks and can only use verbal attacks and threats. A rate cut is a foregone conclusion.
Lao Cui concluded: In view of the capital flow at the financial level, there is enough capital eyeing the cryptocurrency market, and it is difficult to see a reversal in the short term, that is, the bull market will not directly turn into a bear market. The basis for judging this is the continuous interest rate cuts by the United States and Trump's attitude and strategy towards the cryptocurrency market. We should first determine our own general trend, and then judge the mid-line trend. At the mid-line level, there are certain signs of capital flight in the US stock market, gold and A-shares, and there is indeed an inflow of capital in the cryptocurrency market. The last wave of callbacks to the 86,000 mark clearly showed that there was a large amount of capital ambushing at the bottom support position, and the signs of stabilization were very impressive. Therefore, for the mid-line ambush, you only need to beware of the American verbal threat theory and respond with a callback to buy more, and don't blindly chase the rise. Judging from the history of capital, the violent growth in the later period will definitely be accompanied by a deep callback. I have not emphasized this point to you in the early stage, that is because there was no bubble in the currency circle before 9W. The trend after 9W depends on Trump's attitude. The bubble does not mean that it will burst, it is still a matter of time. In the later stage, there is no bad news for the currency circle, which means bullish. In the short-term level, the pressure position is also very obvious. Since the last round of highs, the historical high of 93400 has never been seen again. In the short term, it may still fluctuate in this range. Only after screening out other retail investors will it pull. In particular, other currencies did not follow the rise in this round. Ethereum is the first. It is even 200 points lower at this stage, and the signs of high rise are even weaker. What you do must be to wait for the depth of the callback. Even if you have a certain amount of capital, you can enter the market to ambush long orders at this stage, and you can cover your positions later. You must ambush long orders in advance before the bull market starts. Don't chase the rise. If you don't grasp the point well, ask Lao Cui directly. Lao Cui will also arrange the position of long orders today, and then wait for the right time! We must all keep an eye on this money from Trump’s allies. The true historical high of Bitcoin may not be too far away. Let us look forward to the good things that are about to happen!
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Lao Cui’s message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps ahead, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps ahead. Experts consider the overall situation and the general trend, and do not focus on one piece or one place. Their goal is to win the game in the end. Underachievers fight for every inch of land, frequently switch between long and short positions, and only try to win in the short term, resulting in frequent setbacks.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute buying or selling advice. If you buy or sell based on this material, you will be responsible for the consequences!
