Bitcoin’s open interest (OI) in futures markets has reached a new all-time high of $55.7 billion, reflecting a significant uptick in both trading activity and investor interest. This surge follows a sharp decline to $26.65 billion in early August, indicating a strong market rebound.
According to data aggregator Coinglass, the latest surge in Bitcoin’s OI is largely fueled by a bullish price rally, which coincided with the U.S. presidential election on November 5. Bitcoin’s price skyrocketed in response to market sentiment around the election results, setting new records along the way.
Key Exchanges Driving the Open Interest Surge
A significant portion of Bitcoin’s record-breaking OI is held by a few major exchanges. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) leads the pack, accounting for 32.3% of the total OI, which is valued at approximately $18 billion with 197,620 BTC in open contracts.
Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, follows with a 19.47% market share, equating to more than 119,000 BTC worth $10.86 billion in open interest. Bybit ranks third with 13.49% of the total OI, or around $7.53 billion, held in open futures contracts.
Other exchanges, such as Bitget and OKX, round out the top five, holding 9.9% and 7.91% of Bitcoin’s futures OI, respectively.
Bitcoin Price Surge and Market Outlook
The recent rise in Bitcoin’s OI has paralleled its dramatic price rally. Bitcoin briefly touched a new all-time high of $93,480 before pulling back slightly. As of the latest data, Bitcoin is trading at $91,108, marking a 4% increase over the last 24 hours.
This price surge has been fueled by strong bullish sentiment, particularly after the U.S. presidential election. However, Bitcoin is encountering resistance at the $91,265 level, which sits near the upper range of its Bollinger Band. To continue its upward momentum, Bitcoin will need to break through this resistance.
Bearish Indicators Amid Bullish Price Action
Despite the bullish price action, technical indicators suggest there may be caution ahead. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI), which recently spiked to 247, indicates that Bitcoin may be in overbought territory. Although the CCI has since retraced to 163.35, a divergence is emerging between this indicator and Bitcoin’s price, which continues to make new highs.
This divergence could signal that the current rally is running out of steam. If Bitcoin fails to break through its current resistance, a pullback could be imminent. The nearest support levels are at $88,000, with further support at $87,113 and $83,258 if the decline persists.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
While the market remains optimistic with open interest at record levels, Bitcoin’s price action suggests that caution is warranted. The elevated open interest signals that investors are still bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. A successful breakout above $91,265 could pave the way for a retest of Bitcoin’s recent all-time high above $93,000. However, any failure to breach resistance could lead to a temporary pullback, with key support levels to watch in the coming days.
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