BTC is just one step away from 100,000, retreating 5,000 points at 93,400 in the morning.

Will it definitely break through 100,000 by the end of the month, or will it violently retreat?

1. The Fed’s CPI yesterday was in line with expectations

The probability of a 25bp rate cut in December is greater than 75%.

But the focus will be on the CPI data for November next month (released on December 11)

2. Non-agricultural data will be released at 21:30 tonight

It remains to be seen whether BTC will make another roundabout trend

3. Iran withdraws its plan to strike back at Israel

Comprehensive assessment of Iran's election by Trump: The consequences of angering Trump are serious

Israel and Lebanon expected to reach consensus before Trump takes office

Trump's election has restored the situation in the Middle East from turmoil to peace. The next Nobel Peace Prize must be won by Trump (all previous US presidents have won it, but Trump lost the last time)

4. Russia-Ukraine situation - Trump effect

A peace agreement will eventually be signed under Trump

5. Greed Fear Index: 84

6. The US dollar index rose sharply at night: 106.5 Gold retreated: 2571

The dollar rose, US bonds rose, gold fell, US stocks, crude oil, and BTC fell

7. U.S. stocks closed down last night, with cryptocurrencies leading the decline

It is expected that the opening decline of US stocks will expand tonight, and BTC will inevitably follow the correction

8. The total number of liquidations in the entire network: 870 million, long positions: 550 million, short positions: 320 million

The bulls keep pulling the market without looking back, and the ones who get hurt are always the ones who chase the longs

In fact, most people know that chasing high prices is risky, but they always want to take a chance, imagining that they can still make it. They expect that with 100,000 yuan they can buy a car or even a suite. As a result, either their positions are liquidated or they have to live in a suite.

How to change this outcome is to add rules, plans and effective systems. Interested traders can refer to my pinned content.

Summary: Trump came to power and the Middle East is peaceful. Russia and Ukraine are becoming more stable. He said he supports cryptocurrencies and the US dollar and US bonds, which is not good for US stocks (that is, no interest rate cuts or increases). Supporting cryptocurrencies is just a polite remark. Facts speak louder than words.

In short, next year, BTC will have a big scene that we have never seen before ~ ​​Trump effect, the survival of copycats is very short, this round of bull market started with MEME and will eventually end with MEME, this drum-passing MEME will definitely be suppressed by key supervision and then disappear in the passing clouds. The crypto world still needs to return to the field of value and application, and it is not Dog that stands out, but the giants represented by ETH.

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