According to BlockBeats, on November 8, according to Lookonchain monitoring, the French whale who bet on Trump's victory has made a floating profit of 47.8 million US dollars. This "whale" is a French tycoon who has worked as a trader in several banks. This summer he began to use his mathematical expertise to analyze US opinion polls.
On August 3, he began withdrawing USDC from Kraken to place bets on Polymarket. He said his bet was essentially a bet on the accuracy of poll data. He believes that polls exaggerate Harris's support and fail to account for the "shy Trump voter effect." He explained that Trump supporters either don't want to tell pollsters that they support the former president or are simply unwilling to participate in polls.
He commissioned a large pollster that used both neighborhood polls and traditional polling methods, and those polls showed Harris's approval rating dropped by several points when respondents were asked who their neighbors would vote for, compared with asking them directly.
Therefore, starting from October 2, he created three more accounts (Theo4, PrincessCaro and Michie) to continue to increase his bets on Trump. Between October 2 and November 5, he withdrew a total of 42 million USDC from Kraken to bet that Trump would win the election, and eventually realized a floating profit of $47.8 million.