The New York Times shows that Trump's chances of winning are currently 88%, with Trump expected to get 301 electoral votes and Harris 237 electoral votes. This result "is our best estimate at this time of who will win the presidency based on the votes reported so far and our expectations of the remaining votes." Nate Cohn, chief political analyst at the New York Times, said that Trump has a good chance of winning Georgia and North Carolina. Harris may need to sweep Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin to win - but Trump has the advantage in all three states.