$BTC ๐๐๐
Today I asked ChatGPT an interesting question . The response shall make you bullish for sure ๐
Tell me according to the reliable different forecasting models who's going to win the American presidential election
ChatGPT said:
The U.S. 2024 presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is still highly competitive, with leading forecasting models showing a close contest, albeit with some leaning towards Trump. According to Decision Desk HQ, Trump holds a narrow lead, with a 53% chance of victory, largely due to his slight advantage in critical swing states like Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia. Harris, however, maintains a small edge in Michigan, leaving key battlegrounds highly contestedใ6โ sourceใ.
The 270toWin consensus forecast, combining various forecasters, recently shifted Arizona from "toss-up" to "lean Republican," showing a trend favoring Trump in pivotal states that could determine the final outcomeใ7โ sourceใ. Similarly, Race to the WHโs polling-based electoral map reflects a slight lead for Trump, factoring in recent polling trends and historical biases adjusted for accuracyใ8โ sourceใ.
In summary, while Trump's path appears somewhat more favorable in the final weeks, the outcome remains uncertain and could easily pivot depending on last-minute shifts in voter sentiment, turnout, and swing-state dynamics.