When to sell the portfolio?

never.
There is no reason in the market that could force one to sell the entire portfolio in one day.


Many completely misinterpret the situation, believing that there is some imaginary single day, week, or month when one needs to buy, and there is some day, week, or month when everything needs to be sold. This is a delusion. There is a GLOBAL: accumulation stage (bear market) — we build our position, distribution stage (end of the bull market) — we sell our position. This is true, BUT this is global. Locally, however, the portfolio consists of projects, each of which has an interest zone for buying and an interest zone for selling. These interest zones are always established individually, and although mainly the interest zones for buying are in the accumulation market stage, and the interest zones for selling are in the distribution stage, this is not a rule.

Let's consider one specific example of a mini-portfolio of coins that are in the open channel:

TWT — $1 and below
XRP — $0.62 and below
APT — $5.5 and below
TON — $1 and below (yes, such a price existed, and yes, the recommendation was in the open channel, and yes, at that price TON was not needed by anyone)
SOL — $12 and below (and such a price existed, and it was noted)

Now pay attention: these were the interest zones for buying, and let's assume that the coins were purchased, free stablecoins were delivered, and the waiting began. All of them were bought during the accumulation stage from 2022 to 2023, that is, in the midst of the bear market. All these coins have an interest zone for selling:

TWT — $10
XRP — $3
APT — $60
TON — $7
SOL — $70

Between 2023 and 2024, TON and SOL were completely sold; investments from XRP, APT, TWT were taken back and new coins were purchased, even though the distribution stage was not even in sight, and it is still ahead.

The essence is that it absolutely does not matter what stage the market is in, what is happening, etc. The only important fact is achieving goals — in this case, the coin is sold; the important fact is reaching the interest zone for buying — then we buy; and the fact of x2-x3 — then we take back the invested. Market stages are IMPORTANT, as without understanding what is happening in the market, it is difficult to establish interest zones for both buying and selling. But the market stage is not a signal to buy or sell. The main signal to buy, sell, or to take back the investment are the goals set for specific coins.

If you bought a coin in the interest zone during a bear market and a month later it made x3 — you need to take back the investment. If two months later it reached the peak goal and the market is still not bullish — it doesn't matter, the goal is achieved, and therefore, it is necessary to sell.

Why can't all projects be adjusted to the market stage? Because there are projects that show growth regardless of whether the market is bullish or bearish. TON and SOL are bright examples. There are coins that do not show declines, like the rest of the market, in case of negative events or a change in the market stage. A vivid example is TWT, XRP, which have their own range within which they exist, and their own separate metrics for determining interest zones. And there are coins (the overwhelming majority) that, on the contrary, completely depend on the market stage, and the analytics for them should be built based on this understanding.

To be continued...
In the next part — about how exactly to establish interest zones and what to rely on.